Josh Downs
2026 Cap Hit
$4,023,720
2026 Cash
$3,770,000
Career Earnings
$4,026,490
2023-2026 Rookie (CURRENT)
| Year | Age | Status | Cap HitAnnual | Cap % League Cap | Cash Annual | Cash Cumulative | Dead Cap Annual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 |
|
22 | $1,003,720 | 0.45% | $1,764,880 | $1,764,880 | $1,014,880 | |
| 2024 |
|
23 | $1,254,650 | 0.49% | $1,000,930 | $2,765,810 | $761,160 | |
| 2025 |
|
24 | $1,514,400 | 0.54% | $1,260,680 | $4,026,490 | $516,260 | |
| 2026 |
|
25 |
Estimate
|
$4,023,720 | 1.34% | $3,770,000 | $7,796,490 | $253,720 |
| 2027 |
|
26 |
UFA |
| Year | Age | Status | Base P5 Salary | Signing Bonus | Workout Bonus | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Cash Remaining | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 |
|
22 | $750,000 | $1,014,880 | - | $1,764,880 | $1,764,880 | $7,796,490 | |
| 2024 |
|
23 | $1,000,930 | - | - | $1,000,930 | $2,765,810 | $6,031,610 | |
| 2025 |
|
24 | $1,251,860 | - | $8,820 | $1,260,680 | $4,026,490 | $5,030,680 | |
| 2026 |
|
25 |
Estimate |
$3,770,000 | - | - | $3,770,000 | $7,796,490 | $3,770,000 |
- 2026 Proven Performance Escalator (Level 2)
Seasons
2 Years
Career Earnings thru 2026
$4,026,490
Earnings w/ Different Teams
1 team
Earnings Per Year
| Year | Age | Team(s) | Status | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Awards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 |
|
Active
|
$1,764,880 |
$1,764,880 |
|
| 2024 | 23 |
|
Active
|
$1,000,930 |
$2,765,810 |
|
| 2025 | 24 |
|
Active
|
$1,260,680 |
$4,026,490 |
|
| Total |
$4,026,490 |
$4,026,490 |
||||
| 2026 | 25 |
|
Active / estimate
|
$3,770,000 |
||
| Total |
$7,796,490 |
Earnings Per Team
| Years | Team | Base | Signing | Roster | Restructure | Option | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
|
$3,002,790 | $1,014,880 | - | - | $8,820 | - | $4,026,490 |
| Year | Team(s) | Age | Base | Signing | Roster | Restructure | Option | Workout | Incentives | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 |
|
22 |
$750,000
|
$1,014,880 |
$1,764,880 |
$1,764,880 |
|||||
| 2024 |
|
23 |
$1,000,930
|
$1,000,930 |
$2,765,810 |
||||||
| 2025 |
|
24 |
$1,251,860
|
$8,820 |
$1,260,680 |
$4,026,490 |
|||||
| Total |
$3,002,790 |
$1,014,880 |
$8,820 |
$4,026,490 |
$4,026,490 |
||||||
| 2026 |
|
25 |
$3,770,000
|
$3,770,000 |
|||||||
| Total |
$6,772,790 |
$1,014,880 |
$8,820 |
$7,796,490 |
Earnings Per Team
| Years | Team | Base | Signing | Roster | Restructure | Option | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
|
$3,002,790 | $1,014,880 | - | - | $8,820 | - | $4,026,490 |
| Year | Team | GP | GS | Snaps | Snaps% | Rec Receptions | Rec Yards | Rec Touchdowns | Fum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | IND | 16 | 11 | 594 | 55.36 | 58 | 566 | 4 | 1 |
| 2024 | IND | 14 | 8 | 602 | 55.38 | 72 | 803 | 5 | 0 |
| 2023 | IND | 17 | 9 | 788 | 68.64 | 68 | 771 | 2 | 0 |
Calculated Market Value
Market Value
- 4 years, $56,054,416
- Avg. Salary: $14,013,604
- NFL Rank: 196
- WR Rank: 26
Current Contract
- Free Agent: 2027
- Avg. Salary: $1,380,115
- NFL Rank: 761
- WR Rank: 81
Comparable Players
We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Josh Downs to.
| Player | Length | Value | Avg. Salary | Age When Signed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | 3 | $52,500,000 | $17,500,000 | 24 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 3 | $33,000,000 | $11,000,000 | 26 |
| Khalil Shakir | 4 | $53,058,000 | $13,264,500 | 25 |
| Christian Kirk | 4 | $72,000,000 | $18,000,000 | 25 |
| Averages | 4 | $52,639,500 | $14,941,125 | 25.0 |
Base Calculated Value
After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Downs's current age (24), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.
| Length | Value | Avg. Salary |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | $72,268,600 | $14,453,720 |
Statistical Comparisons
Now we'll compare our variables and Downs statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: GP%, Snaps %, Rec Tgt/Gm, Rec/Gm, Rec Yds/Gm, Rec TD/Gm, YAC/GM, Drops/Gm, Rating
| Player | GP% | Snaps % | Rec Tgt/Gm | Rec/Gm | Rec Yds/Gm | Rec TD/Gm | YAC/GM | Drops/Gm | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jerry Jeudy
2022-2023
|
91.18 | 62.30 | 6.03 | 3.90 | 55.81 | 0.26 | 23.71 | 0.32 | 73.10 |
|
Jakobi Meyers
2021-2022
|
91.18 | 74.95 | 7.16 | 4.84 | 53.87 | 0.26 | 15.23 | 0.13 | 75.25 |
|
Khalil Shakir
2023-2024
|
94.12 | 52.90 | 4.53 | 3.59 | 44.75 | 0.19 | 27.84 | 0.09 | 76.05 |
|
Christian Kirk
2020-2021
|
93.94 | 72.65 | 5.87 | 4.03 | 51.71 | 0.35 | 13.65 | 0.26 | 67.50 |
| Average | 92.61 | 65.70 | 5.90 | 4.09 | 51.54 | 0.27 | 20.11 | 0.20 | 72.98 |
|
Josh Downs
2024-2025
|
87.10 | 54.15 | 6.56 | 4.41 | 44.78 | 0.33 | 18.85 | 0.22 | 80.60 |
| Pct Change | -5.95 | -17.58 | 11.19 | 7.82 | -13.12 | 22.22 | -6.27 | -10.00 | 10.44 |
| Median Prime % Change | -5.95% | ||||||||
| Average Prime % Change | -0.14% | ||||||||
Calculated Market Value: Josh Downs
After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.
| Terms | Avg. Salary |
|---|---|
| 4 years, $56,054,416 | $14,013,604 |
