Justin Steele
2025 Payroll Salary
$7,950,000
2025 Cash
$7,950,000
Career Earnings
$8,577,868
2025-2025 Arbitration (CURRENT)
Year | Age | Status | PayrollAnnual | Luxury Tax | Tax % League Tax | Cash Annual | Cash Cumulative | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 29 |
Estimate
|
$7,950,000 | $7,950,000 | 3.30% | $7,950,000 | $7,950,000 | |
2026 | 30 |
ARB 3
|
||||||
2027 | 31 |
ARB 4
|
||||||
2028 | 32 |
UFA |
Year | Age | Service | Status | Base Salary | Incentives Likely | Incentives Unlikely | Payroll Salary | Luxury Tax | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 29 | 3.143 |
Estimate
|
$7,950,000 | - | - | $7,950,000 | $7,950,000 | |
2026 | 30 | -- |
ARB 3
|
||||||
2027 | 31 | -- |
ARB 4
|
||||||
2028 | 32 | -- |
UFA |
Year | Age | Status | Base Salary | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Cash Remaining | AYC Cumulative | AYC Remaining | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 29 |
Estimate |
$7,950,000 | $7,950,000 | $7,950,000 | $7,950,000 | $7,950,000 | $7,950,000 |
2024-2024 Arbitration
2023-2023 Pre-Arb
2022-2022 Pre-Arb
2021-2021 Pre-Arb
2020-2020 Pre-Arb
2019-2019 Pre-Arb
2014-2014 Signing Bonus
Seasons
3.143 Years
Career Earnings thru 2025
$8,577,868
Earnings w/ Different Teams
1 team
Earnings Per Year
Year | Age | Team(s) | Status | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Awards |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 18 |
Signing Bonus
|
$1,000,000 |
$1,000,000 |
||
2019 | 23 |
Reserve / minor-buried
|
$45,300 |
$1,045,300 |
||
2020 | 24 |
Reserve / minor-buried
|
$12,460 |
$1,057,760 |
||
2021 | 25 |
Active
|
$401,777 |
$1,459,537 |
||
2022 | 26 |
Injured
|
$705,000 |
$2,164,537 |
||
2023 | 27 |
Active
|
$2,413,331 |
$4,577,868 |
||
2024 | 28 |
Active / Arb Avoided
|
$4,000,000 |
$8,577,868 |
||
Total |
$8,577,868 |
$8,577,868 |
||||
2025 | 29 |
Active / estimate-arbitration
|
$7,950,000 |
|||
Total |
$16,527,868 |
Earnings Per Team
Years | Team | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | $5,904,537 | $1,000,000 | $1,673,331 | $8,577,868 |
Year | Team(s) | Age | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 18 |
$1,000,000 |
$1,000,000 |
$1,000,000 |
|||
2019 | 23 |
$45,300
|
$45,300 |
$1,045,300 |
|||
2020 | 24 |
$12,460
|
$12,460 |
$1,057,760 |
|||
2021 | 25 |
$401,777
|
$401,777 |
$1,459,537 |
|||
2022 | 26 |
$705,000
|
$705,000 |
$2,164,537 |
|||
2023 | 27 |
$740,000
|
$1,673,331 |
$2,413,331 |
$4,577,868 |
||
2024 | 28 |
$4,000,000
|
$4,000,000 |
$8,577,868 |
|||
Total |
$5,904,537 |
$1,000,000 |
$1,673,331 |
$8,577,868 |
$8,577,868 |
||
2025 | 29 |
$7,950,000
|
$7,950,000 |
||||
Total |
$13,854,537 |
$1,000,000 |
$1,673,331 |
$16,527,868 |
Earnings Per Team
Years | Team | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | $5,904,537 | $1,000,000 | $1,673,331 | $8,577,868 |
Injuries
Year | Dates | Reason | |
---|---|---|---|
2024 | CHC | Sep 01, 2024 - Sep 18, 2024 | Elbow |
2024 | CHC | Mar 30, 2024 - May 06, 2024 | Hamstring |
2023 | CHC | Jun 03, 2023 - Jun 17, 2023 | Arm |
2022 | CHC | Sep 05, 2022 - Oct 05, 2022 | Back |
2021 | CHC | May 21, 2021 - Jul 08, 2021 | Hamstring |
- Jan 11, 2024 Signed a 1 year $4 million contract with Chicago (CHC), avoiding arbitration
- Mar 01, 2023 Signed a 1 year $740,000 contract with Chicago (CHC)
- Mar 01, 2022 Signed a 1 year $705,000 contract with Chicago (CHC)
- Mar 05, 2019 Signed a 1 year $555,000 contract with Chicago (CHC)
- Nov 20, 2018 Contract purchased by Chicago (CHC)
- Jun 19, 2014 Signed a contract with Chicago (CHC)
- Jun 06, 2014 Drafted by Chicago (CHC): Round 5 (#139 overall)
Year | Team | GP | GS | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | W | L | SV | IP | ERA | WHIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | CHC | 24 | 24 | 111 | 54 | 46 | 37 | 135 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 134.7 | 3.07 | 1.10 | 1.92 |
2023 | CHC | 30 | 30 | 167 | 71 | 59 | 36 | 176 | 14 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 173.3 | 3.06 | 1.17 | 3.74 |
2022 | CHC | 24 | 24 | 111 | 53 | 42 | 50 | 126 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 119.0 | 3.18 | 1.35 | 2.11 |
2021 | CHC | 20 | 9 | 50 | 29 | 27 | 27 | 59 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 57.0 | 4.26 | 1.35 | 0.58 |
Calculated Market Value
Market Value
- 3 years, $59,642,655
- Avg. Salary: $19,880,885
- MLB Rank: 59
- SP Rank: 20
Current Contract
- Free Agent: 2028
- Avg. Salary: $7,950,000
- MLB Rank: 179
- SP Rank: 66
Comparable Players
We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Justin Steele to.
Player | Length | Value | Avg. Salary | Age When Signed |
---|---|---|---|---|
Framber Valdez | 1 | $12,100,000 | $12,100,000 | 29 |
Shane Bieber | 1 | $13,125,000 | $13,125,000 | 28 |
Marcus Stroman | 2 | $37,000,000 | $18,500,000 | 32 |
Joe Musgrove | 5 | $100,000,000 | $20,000,000 | 29 |
Averages | 2 | $40,556,250 | $15,931,250 | 29.5 |
Base Calculated Value
After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Steele's current age (29), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.
Length | Value | Avg. Salary |
---|---|---|
3 | $57,329,412 | $19,109,804 |
Statistical Comparisons
Now we'll compare our variables and Steele statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: GS/Yr, IP, K/9, BB/9, ERA, WHIP, FIP, WAR
Player | GS/Yr | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | ERA | WHIP | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Framber Valdez
2022-2023
|
31.00 | 6.44 | 8.88 | 2.80 | 3.14 | 1.14 | 3.28 | 3.55 |
Shane Bieber
2022-2023
|
26.00 | 6.31 | 8.22 | 2.00 | 3.34 | 1.14 | 3.38 | 3.46 |
Marcus Stroman
2022-2023
|
25.00 | 5.29 | 7.78 | 2.88 | 3.73 | 1.20 | 3.67 | 2.92 |
Joe Musgrove
2021-2022
|
30.50 | 5.18 | 9.62 | 2.38 | 3.06 | 1.08 | 3.64 | 3.99 |
Average | 28.13 | 5.81 | 8.63 | 2.52 | 3.32 | 1.14 | 3.49 | 3.48 |
Justin Steele
2023-2024
|
27.00 | 5.70 | 9.08 | 2.17 | 3.07 | 1.13 | 3.12 | 3.56 |
Pct Change | -4.02 | -1.89 | 5.21 | 13.89 | 7.53 | 0.88 | 10.60 | 2.30 |
Median Prime % Change | 3.76% | |||||||
Average Prime % Change | 4.31% |
Calculated Market Value: Justin Steele
After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.
Terms | Avg. Salary |
---|---|
3 years, $59,642,655 | $19,880,885 |