Griffin Canning

San Diego Padres, Starting Pitcher
Age: 29y-9m-25d (May 11, 1996)
Exp: 6.075 Years
Country: US
College: California-Los Angeles
Drafted: Round 2 (#47 overall), 2017
Agent(s): Wasserman
2026 Payroll Salary

$1,000,000

2026 Cash

$1,000,000

Career Earnings

$10,953,946

2026-2027 Free Agent (CURRENT)

Griffin Canning signed a 1 year, $2,500,000 contract with the San Diego Padres, including $2,500,000 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $2,500,000. In 2026, Canning will earn a base salary of $1,000,000, while carrying a total salary of $1,000,000.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $2,500,000
Average Salary:
$2,500,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
Free Agent:
2028 / UFA
YOS @ Signing:
6.075
Year Age YOS Status PayrollAnnual Luxury Tax Tax % League Tax Cash Annual Cash Cumulative
2026 30 6.075 $1,000,000 $2,500,000 1.02% $1,000,000 $1,000,000
2027 31 6.075
Mutual
$5,000,000 $2,500,000 - $1,500,000 $2,500,000
2028 32 -
UFA
Year Age Service Status Base Salary Incentives Likely Incentives Unlikely Payroll Salary Luxury Tax
2026 30 6.075 $1,000,000 - - $1,000,000 $2,500,000
2027 31 -
Mutual
$5,000,000 - - $5,000,000 $2,500,000
2028 32 --
UFA
Year Age Status Base Salary Cash Total Cash Cumulative Cash Remaining AYC Cumulative AYC Remaining
2026 30 $1,000,000 $1,000,000 $1,000,000 $2,500,000 $1,000,000 $1,250,000
2027 31
Mutual
$1,500,000 $1,500,000 $2,500,000 $1,500,000 $1,250,000 $1,500,000
Contract Notes
  • 2027 Mutual Option includes a $1.5M buyout
  • 2027 Games Started Escalators
    $150,000 each for 8, 10
    $200,000 each for 12, 14
    $250,000 each for 16, 20
    $300,000 for 24
Source: MLB contract specifics generally collected from verified reports.

2025-2025 free-agent-restricted

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $4,250,000
Average Salary:
$4,250,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
Free Agent:
2026 / UFA
YOS @ Signing:
5.075
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2024-2024 Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $2,600,000
Average Salary:
$2,600,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
4.075
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2023-2023 Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $850,000
Average Salary:
$850,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
3.075
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2022-2022 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $730,000
Average Salary:
$730,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
2.075
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2021-2021 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $590,500
Average Salary:
$590,500
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
1.153
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2020-2020 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $570,500
Average Salary:
$570,500
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
0.153
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2019-2019 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $555,000
Average Salary:
$555,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
0
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2017-2017 Signing Bonus

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $1,459,200
Average Salary:
$1,459,200
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
0
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Seasons

6.075 Years

Career Earnings thru 2026

$10,953,946

Earnings w/ Different Teams

2 teams

Earnings Per Year

Year Age Team(s) Service Status Cash Total Cash Cumulative Awards
2017 21
-
Signing Bonus
$1,459,200
$1,459,200
2019 23
0
Injured
$555,000
$2,014,200
2020 24
0.153
Active
$211,296
$2,225,496
AL Gold Glove:P
2021 25
1.153
Reserve / minor-buried
$298,450
$2,523,946
2022 26
2.075
Injured
$730,000
$3,253,946
2023 27
3.075
Active / Arb Avoided
$850,000
$4,103,946
2024 28
4.075
Active / Arb Avoided
$2,600,000
$6,703,946
2025 29
5.075
Injured
$4,250,000
$10,953,946
Total      
$10,953,946
$10,953,946
2026 30
6.075
Active
$1,000,000
2027 31
6.075
Active / Mutual
$1,500,000
Total
$13,453,946

Earnings Per Team

Years Team Base Signing Incentives Cash Cumulative
7 $5,244,746 $1,459,200 - $6,703,946
1 $4,250,000 - - $4,250,000
Year Team(s) Age Base Signing Incentives Cash Total Cash Cumulative
2017
21
$1,459,200
$1,459,200
$1,459,200
2019
23
$555,000
$555,000
$2,014,200
2020
24
$211,296
$211,296
$2,225,496
2021
25
$298,450
$298,450
$2,523,946
2022
26
$730,000
$730,000
$3,253,946
2023
27
$850,000
$850,000
$4,103,946
2024
28
$2,600,000
$2,600,000
$6,703,946
2025
29
$4,250,000
$4,250,000
$10,953,946
Total
$9,494,746
$1,459,200
$10,953,946
$10,953,946
2026
30
$1,000,000
$1,000,000
2027
31
$1,500,000
$1,500,000
Total
$11,994,746
$1,459,200
$13,453,946

Earnings Per Team

Years Team Base Signing Incentives Cash Cumulative
7 $5,244,746 $1,459,200 - $6,703,946
1 $4,250,000 - - $4,250,000

Injuries

Year Dates Reason
2025 NYM Jun 27, 2025 - Sep 28, 2025 Achilles
2023 LAA Aug 01, 2023 - Aug 13, 2023 Calf
2023 LAA Mar 30, 2023 - Apr 12, 2023 Groin
2022 LAA Apr 04, 2022 - Oct 05, 2022 Back
2019 LAA Aug 20, 2019 - Sep 29, 2019 Elbow
2019 LAA Aug 01, 2019 - Aug 13, 2019 Elbow
  • Feb 14, 2026 Signed a 1 year $2.5 million contract with San Diego (SD)
  • Dec 19, 2024 Signed a 1 year $4.25 million contract with New York (NYM)
  • Nov 22, 2024 Non-Tendered by Atlanta (ATL)
  • Oct 31, 2024 Traded to Atlanta (ATL) from Los Angeles (LAA) for Jorge Soler
  • Jan 11, 2024 Signed a 1 year $2.6 million contract with Los Angeles (LAA), avoiding arbitration
  • Jan 13, 2023 Signed a 1 year $850,000 contract with Los Angeles (LAA), avoiding arbitration
  • Mar 01, 2022 Signed a 1 year $730,000 contract with Los Angeles (LAA)
  • Mar 01, 2021 Signed a 1 year $590,500 contract with Los Angeles (LAA)
  • Mar 05, 2020 Signed a 1 year $570,500 contract with Los Angeles (LAA)
  • Jun 16, 2017 Signed a contract with Los Angeles (LAA)
  • Jun 15, 2017 Drafted by Los Angeles (LAA): Round 2 (#47 overall)
  • Jul 15, 2014 Unsigned by Colorado (COL)
  • Jun 10, 2014 Drafted by Colorado (COL): Round 38 (#1133 overall)
Year Team GP GS H R ER BB K HR W L SV IP ERA WHIP WAR
2025 NYM 16 16 70 35 32 35 70 8 7 3 0 76.3 3.77 1.38 1.13
2024 LAA 32 31 174 105 99 66 130 31 6 13 0 171.7 5.19 1.40 0.26
2023 LAA 24 22 121 62 61 36 139 22 7 8 0 127.0 4.32 1.24 2.02
2021 LAA 16 13 65 41 39 28 62 14 5 4 0 62.7 5.60 1.48 0.07
2020 LAA 11 11 54 29 25 23 56 8 2 3 0 56.3 3.99 1.37 1.08
2019 LAA 19 17 80 46 46 30 96 14 5 6 0 90.3 4.58 1.22 1.33

Calculated Market Value

Market Value

  • 1 years, $4,684,684
  • Avg. Salary: $4,684,684
  • MLB Rank: 291
  • SP Rank: 91

Current Contract

  • Free Agent: 2028
  • Avg. Salary: $2,500,000
  • MLB Rank: 395
  • SP Rank: 110

Comparable Players

We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Griffin Canning to.

Player Length Value Avg. Salary Age When Signed
Dean Kremer 1 $2,950,000 $2,950,000 29
Tanner Houck 1 $3,950,000 $3,950,000 28
Brady Singer 1 $8,750,000 $8,750,000 28
Aaron Civale 1 $8,000,000 $8,000,000 29
Averages 1 $5,912,500 $5,912,500 28.5

Base Calculated Value

After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Canning's current age (29), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.

Length Value Avg. Salary
1 $5,475,000 $5,475,000

Statistical Comparisons

Now we'll compare our variables and Canning statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: GS/Yr, IP, K/9, BB/9, ERA, WHIP, FIP, WAR

Player GS/Yr IP K/9 BB/9 ERA WHIP FIP WAR
Dean Kremer
2023-2024
28.00 5.40 8.36 3.20 4.11 1.28 4.42 1.24
Tanner Houck
2023-2024
25.50 5.58 8.09 2.95 4.07 1.25 3.88 3.21
Brady Singer
2023-2024
30.50 5.56 8.01 2.74 4.62 1.36 4.11 1.87
Aaron Civale
2023-2024
27.00 5.25 8.43 2.67 3.91 1.23 4.16 2.32
Average 27.75 5.45 8.22 2.89 4.18 1.28 4.14 2.16
Griffin Canning
2024-2025
23.50 5.17 7.54 3.80 4.48 1.39 4.64 0.86
Pct Change -15.32 -5.14 -8.27 -31.49 -7.18 -8.59 -12.08 -60.19
Median Prime % Change -10.34%
Average Prime % Change -18.53%

Calculated Market Value: Griffin Canning

After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.

Terms Avg. Salary
1 years, $4,684,684 $4,684,684
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