Lucas Giolito

Boston Red Sox, Starting Pitcher
Age: 31y-7m-27d (Jul 14, 1994)
Exp: 8.080 Years
Country: US
Drafted: Round 1 (#16 overall), 2012
Agent(s): CAA Sports
INACTIVE

2024-2026 Free Agent

Contract Terms:
2 yr(s) / $38,500,000
Average Salary:
$19,250,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
Free Agent:
2027 / UFA
YOS @ Signing:
6.08
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2023-2023 Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $10,400,000
Average Salary:
$10,400,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
5.08
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2022-2022 Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $7,450,000
Average Salary:
$7,450,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
4.08
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2021-2021 Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $4,150,000
Average Salary:
$4,150,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
3.08
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2020-2020 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $627,000
Average Salary:
$627,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
2.08
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2019-2019 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $573,000
Average Salary:
$573,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
1.08
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2018-2018 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $555,000
Average Salary:
$555,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
0.08
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2017-2017 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $535,000
Average Salary:
$535,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
0.039
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2016-2016 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $507,500
Average Salary:
$507,500
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
0
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2012-2012 Signing Bonus

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $2,925,000
Average Salary:
$2,925,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
0
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Seasons

8.080 Years

Career Earnings thru 2026

$66,513,212

Earnings w/ Different Teams

5 teams

Earnings Per Year

Year Age Team(s) Service Status Cash Total Cash Cumulative Awards
2012 17
-
Signing Bonus
$2,925,000
$2,925,000
2016 21
0
Active
$108,147
$3,033,147
2017 22
0.039
Active
$119,843
$3,152,990
2018 23
0.08
Active
$555,000
$3,707,990
2019 24
1.08
Injured
$573,000
$4,280,990
2020 25
2.08
Active
$232,222
$4,513,212
2021 26
3.08
Active / Arb Avoided
$4,150,000
$8,663,212
2022 27
4.08
Active / arbitration-avoided-numbers-exchanged
$7,450,000
$16,113,212
2023 28
5.08
Retained
Retained
Active / Arb Avoided
$1,956,990
$6,709,676
$1,733,334
$18,070,202
$24,779,878
$26,513,212
2024 29
6.08
Injured
$18,000,000
$44,513,212
2025 30
7.08
Buyout
Active / Player Exercised
Buyout
$1,500,000
$19,000,000
$1,500,000
$46,013,212
$65,013,212
$66,513,212
Total      
$66,513,212
$46,013,212
$65,013,212
$66,513,212
Total
$66,513,212

Earnings Per Team

Years Team Base Signing Incentives Cash Cumulative
2 $108,147 $2,925,000 - $3,033,147
7 $19,789,741 - - $19,789,741
1 $1,956,990 - - $1,956,990
1 $1,733,334 - - $1,733,334
2 $40,000,000 - - $40,000,000
Year Team(s) Age Base Signing Incentives Cash Total Cash Cumulative
2012
17
$2,925,000
$2,925,000
$2,925,000
2016
21
$108,147
$108,147
$3,033,147
2017
22
$119,843
$119,843
$3,152,990
2018
23
$555,000
$555,000
$3,707,990
2019
24
$573,000
$573,000
$4,280,990
2020
25
$232,222
$232,222
$4,513,212
2021
26
$4,150,000
$4,150,000
$8,663,212
2022
27
$7,450,000
$7,450,000
$16,113,212
2023
28
$1,956,990
$6,709,676
$1,733,334
$1,956,990
$6,709,676
$1,733,334
$18,070,202
$24,779,878
$26,513,212
2024
29
$18,000,000
$18,000,000
$44,513,212
2025
30
$1,500,000
$19,000,000
$1,500,000
$1,500,000
$19,000,000
$1,500,000
$46,013,212
$65,013,212
$66,513,212
Total
$63,588,212
$2,925,000
$66,513,212
$46,013,212
$65,013,212
$66,513,212
Total
$63,588,212
$2,925,000
$66,513,212

Earnings Per Team

Years Team Base Signing Incentives Cash Cumulative
2 $108,147 $2,925,000 - $3,033,147
7 $19,789,741 - - $19,789,741
1 $1,956,990 - - $1,956,990
1 $1,733,334 - - $1,733,334
2 $40,000,000 - - $40,000,000

Injuries

Year Dates Reason
2025 BOS Mar 27, 2025 - Apr 30, 2025 Hamstring
2024 BOS Mar 28, 2024 - Sep 29, 2024 Elbow
2022 CHW May 13, 2022 - May 18, 2022 COVID-19
2022 CHW Apr 10, 2022 - Apr 24, 2022 Knee
2021 CHW Sep 01, 2021 - Sep 13, 2021 Hamstring
2019 CHW Sep 14, 2019 - Sep 29, 2019 Arm
2019 CHW Apr 18, 2019 - May 02, 2019 Hamstring
  • Nov 03, 2025 Declined a $19M mutual option for 2026 with Boston (BOS)
  • Oct 31, 2024 Exercised a $19M player option for 2025
  • Dec 30, 2023 Signed a 2 year $38.5 million contract with Boston (BOS), including a player option for 2025
  • Aug 31, 2023 Claimed off waivers by Cleveland (CLE)
  • Jul 27, 2023 Traded to Los Angeles (LAA) from Chicago (CHW) with Reynaldo Lopez for Ky Bush and Edgar Quero
  • Jan 13, 2023 Signed a 1 year $10.4 million contract with Chicago (CHW), avoiding arbitration
  • Apr 01, 2022 Signed a 1 year $7.45 million contract with Chicago (CHW), avoiding arbitration
  • Jan 15, 2021 Signed a 1 year $4.15 million contract with Chicago (CHW), avoiding arbitration
  • Feb 24, 2020 Signed a 1 year $627,000 contract with Chicago (CHW)
  • Mar 05, 2019 Signed a 1 year $573,000 contract with Chicago (CHW)
  • Feb 23, 2018 Signed a 1 year $555,000 contract with Chicago (CHW)
  • Dec 07, 2016 Traded to Chicago (CHW) from Washington (WSH) with Reynaldo Lopez and Dane Dunning for Adam Eaton
  • Jun 28, 2016 Contract purchased by Washington (WSH)
  • Jul 12, 2012 Signed a contract with Washington (WAS)
  • Jun 04, 2012 Drafted by Washington (WAS): Round 1 (#16 overall)
Year Team GP GS H R ER BB K HR W L SV IP ERA WHIP WAR
2025 BOS 26 26 131 62 55 56 121 17 10 4 0 145.0 3.41 1.29 2.03
2024 BOS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.00 0.00
2023 CLE 33 33 169 110 100 73 204 41 8 15 0 184.3 4.88 1.31 1.72
2022 CHW 30 30 171 92 88 61 177 24 11 9 0 161.7 4.90 1.44 0.41
2021 CHW 31 31 145 74 70 52 201 27 11 9 0 178.7 3.53 1.10 4.28
2020 CHW 12 12 47 31 28 28 97 8 4 3 0 72.3 3.48 1.04 0.82
2019 CHW 29 29 131 69 67 57 228 24 14 9 0 176.7 3.41 1.06 5.44
2018 CHW 32 32 166 123 118 90 125 27 10 13 0 173.3 6.13 1.48 -1.27
2017 CHW 7 7 31 14 12 12 34 8 3 3 0 45.3 2.38 0.95 1.49
2016 WSH 6 4 26 18 16 12 11 7 0 1 0 21.3 6.75 1.78 -0.47

Calculated Market Value

$20.4M Avg. Annual Salary

Market Value

  • 3 years, $61,335,021
  • Avg. Salary: $20,445,007
  • MLB Rank: 71
  • SP Rank: 29

Current Contract

  • Free Agent: -
  • Avg. Salary: -

Comparable Players

We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Lucas Giolito to.

Player Length Value Avg. Salary Age When Signed
Walker Buehler 1 $21,050,000 $21,050,000 30
Marcus Stroman 3 $71,000,000 $23,666,667 30
Nick Martinez 1 $21,050,000 $21,050,000 34
Chris Bassitt 3 $63,000,000 $21,000,000 33
Averages 2 $44,025,000 $21,691,667 31.8

Base Calculated Value

After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Giolito's current age (31), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.

Length Value Avg. Salary
3 $63,764,445 $21,254,815

Statistical Comparisons

Now we'll compare our variables and Giolito statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: GS/Yr, IP, K/9, BB/9, ERA, WHIP, FIP, WAR

Player GS/Yr IP K/9 BB/9 ERA WHIP FIP WAR
Walker Buehler
2023-2024
 8.00 4.71 3.82 1.68 2.69 0.78 2.77 -2.74
Marcus Stroman
2020-2021
 16.50 5.42 3.97 1.10 1.51 0.57 1.74 3.52
Nick Martinez
2023-2024
 12.50 2.43 7.99 2.20 3.27 1.14 3.56 7.41
Chris Bassitt
2021-2022
 28.50 5.95 8.68 2.33 3.29 1.10 3.50 4.30
Average 16.38 4.63 6.12 1.83 2.69 0.90 2.89 3.12
Lucas Giolito
2023-2025
 19.33 5.60 5.84 2.30 2.78 0.87 3.15 2.22
Pct Change 18.01 20.95 -4.58 -25.68 -3.35 3.33 -9.00 -28.85
Median Prime % Change -3.97%
Average Prime % Change -3.65%

Calculated Market Value: Lucas Giolito

After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.

Terms Avg. Salary
3 years, $61,335,021 $20,445,007
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