Justin Topa

Minnesota Twins, Relief Pitcher
Age: 35y-0m-10d (Mar 07, 1991)
Exp: 5.044 Years
Country: US
College: Long Island-Brooklyn (NY)
Drafted: Round 17 (#509 overall), 2013
2026 Payroll Salary

$1,000,000

2026 Cash

$1,000,000

Career Earnings

$6,225,162

2026-2027 Arbitration (CURRENT)

Justin Topa signed a 1 year, $1,225,000 contract with the Minnesota Twins, including $1,225,000 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $1,225,000. In 2026, Topa will earn a base salary of $1,000,000, while carrying a total salary of $1,000,000.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $1,225,000
Average Salary:
$1,225,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
Free Agent:
2028 / UFA
YOS @ Signing:
5.044
Year Age YOS Status PayrollAnnual Luxury Tax Tax % League Tax Cash Annual Cash Cumulative
2026 35 5.044
Arb Avoided
$1,000,000 $1,225,000 0.50% $1,000,000 $1,000,000
2027 36 5.044
Mutual
$5,000,000 $1,225,000 - $225,000 $1,225,000
2028 37 -
UFA
Year Age Service Status Base Salary Incentives Likely Incentives Unlikely Payroll Salary Luxury Tax
2026 35 5.044
Arb Avoided
$1,000,000 - - $1,000,000 $1,225,000
2027 36 -
Mutual
$5,000,000 - - $5,000,000 $1,225,000
2028 37 --
UFA
Year Age Status Base Salary Cash Total Cash Cumulative Cash Remaining AYC Cumulative AYC Remaining
2026 35
Arb Avoided
$1,000,000 $1,000,000 $1,000,000 $1,225,000 $1,000,000 $612,500
2027 36
Mutual
$225,000 $225,000 $1,225,000 $225,000 $612,500 $225,000
Contract Notes

  • 2027 Mutual Option includes a $225,000 buyout
  • Buyout Escalators: $300,000

Source: MLB contract specifics generally collected from verified reports.

2025-2026 Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $1,225,000
Average Salary:
$1,225,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
Free Agent:
2027 / UFA
YOS @ Signing:
4.044
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2024-2024 Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $1,250,000
Average Salary:
$1,250,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
3.044
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2023-2023 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $720,000
Average Salary:
$720,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
2.044
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2022-2022 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $702,200
Average Salary:
$702,200
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
1.058
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2021-2021 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $573,000
Average Salary:
$573,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
0.05
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2020-2020 Pre-Arbitration

Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $563,500
Average Salary:
$563,500
Signing Bonus:
N/A
YOS @ Signing:
0
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Seasons

5.044 Years

Career Earnings thru 2026

$4,525,162

Earnings w/ Different Teams

3 teams

Earnings Per Year

Year Age Team(s) Service Status Cash Total Cash Cumulative Awards
2020 29
0
Active
$56,070
$56,070
2021 30
0.05
Injured
$520,689
$576,759
2022 31
1.058
Injured
$570,984
$1,147,743
2023 32
2.044
Active
$677,419
$1,825,162
2024 33
3.044
Active / Arb Avoided
$1,250,000
$3,075,162
2025 34
4.044
Injured / Arb Avoided
Buyout
$1,225,000
$225,000
$4,300,162
$4,525,162
Total      
$4,525,162
$4,300,162
$4,525,162
2026 35
5.044
Active / Arb Avoided
$1,000,000
2027 36
5.044
Active / Mutual
$225,000
Total
$5,750,162

Earnings Per Team

Years Team Base Signing Incentives Cash Cumulative
3 $1,147,743 - - $1,147,743
1 $677,419 - - $677,419
2 $2,700,000 - - $2,700,000
Year Team(s) Age Base Signing Incentives Cash Total Cash Cumulative
2020
29
$56,070
$56,070
$56,070
2021
30
$520,689
$520,689
$576,759
2022
31
$570,984
$570,984
$1,147,743
2023
32
$677,419
$677,419
$1,825,162
2024
33
$1,250,000
$1,250,000
$3,075,162
2025
34
$1,225,000
$225,000
$1,225,000
$225,000
$4,300,162
$4,525,162
Total
$4,525,162
$4,525,162
$4,300,162
$4,525,162
2026
35
$1,000,000
$1,000,000
2027
36
$225,000
$225,000
Total
$5,750,162
$5,750,162

Earnings Per Team

Years Team Base Signing Incentives Cash Cumulative
3 $1,147,743 - - $1,147,743
1 $677,419 - - $677,419
2 $2,700,000 - - $2,700,000

Injuries

Year Dates Reason
2025 MIN Sep 09, 2025 - Sep 28, 2025 Oblique
2024 MIN Mar 28, 2024 - Sep 25, 2024 Knee
2022 MIL Oct 03, 2022 - Oct 05, 2022 Ankle
2022 MIL Apr 04, 2022 - Aug 13, 2022 Arm
2021 MIL Sep 04, 2021 - Oct 03, 2021 Elbow
2021 MIL Apr 01, 2021 - Aug 11, 2021 Elbow
  • Nov 21, 2025 Signed a 1 year $1.225 million contract with Minnesota (MIN), avoiding arbitration
  • Nov 06, 2025 Minnesota (MIN) declined a $2 million club option for 2026
  • Nov 22, 2024 Signed a 1 year $1.225 million contract with Minnesota (MIN), avoiding arbitration
  • Jan 29, 2024 Traded to Minnesota (MIN) from Seattle (SEA) with Anthony DeSclafani , Gabriel Gonzalez , Darren Bowen and $8M cash for Jorge Polanco
  • Jan 11, 2024 Signed a 1 year $1.25 million contract with Seattle (SEA), avoiding arbitration
  • Apr 09, 2023 Recalled from the Minors by Seattle (SEA)
  • Jan 07, 2023 Traded to Seattle (SEA) from Milwaukee (MIL) for Joseph Hernandez
  • Sep 28, 2022 Promoted from the Minors by Milwaukee (MIL)
  • Sep 20, 2022 Demoted to the Minors by Milwaukee (MIL)
  • Sep 08, 2022 Promoted from the Minors by Milwaukee (MIL)
  • Aug 13, 2022 Demoted to the Minors by Milwaukee (MIL)
  • Mar 01, 2022 Signed a 1 year $702,200 contract with Milwaukee (MIL)
  • Mar 28, 2019 Signed a minor league contract with Milwaukee (MIL)
  • Jun 17, 2018 Signed a minor league contract with Texas (TEX)
  • Jun 13, 2013 Signed a contract with Pittsburgh (PIT)
  • Jun 08, 2013 Drafted by Pittsburgh (PIT): Round 17 (#509 overall)
  • Jul 10, 2012 Unsigned by Cincinnati (CIN)
  • Jun 10, 2012 Drafted by Cincinnati (CIN): Round 33 (#1012 overall)
Year Team GP GS H R ER BB K HR W L SV IP ERA WHIP WAR
2025 MIN 54 1 68 32 26 18 49 2 1 5 4 60.0 3.90 1.43 0.39
2024 MIN 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2.3 0.00 0.43 0.17
2023 SEA 73 0 61 26 20 18 61 4 5 4 3 69.0 2.61 1.15 1.65
2022 MIL 7 0 9 6 4 4 4 0 0 0 0 7.3 4.91 1.77 -0.28
2021 MIL 4 0 12 11 11 1 1 2 0 0 0 3.3 29.70 3.90 -0.60
2020 MIL 6 0 7 3 2 0 12 1 0 1 0 7.7 2.35 0.91 0.17

Calculated Market Value

Market Value

  • 1 years, $3,913,232
  • Avg. Salary: $3,913,232
  • MLB Rank: 339
  • RP Rank: 65

Current Contract

  • Free Agent: 2028
  • Avg. Salary: $1,225,000
  • MLB Rank: 530
  • RP Rank: 131

Comparable Players

We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Justin Topa to.

Player Length Value Avg. Salary Age When Signed
Chris Martin 1 $5,500,000 $5,500,000 38
Justin Wilson 1 $2,250,000 $2,250,000 37
Hunter Strickland 1 $1,000,000 $1,000,000 36
Danny Coulombe 1 $3,000,000 $3,000,000 35
Averages 1 $2,937,500 $2,937,500 36.5

Base Calculated Value

After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Topa's current age (35), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.

Length Value Avg. Salary
4 $14,407,408 $3,601,852

Statistical Comparisons

Now we'll compare our variables and Topa statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: GP/Yr, SV, ERA, WHIP, K/9, BB/9, FIP, WAR

Player GP/Yr SV ERA WHIP K/9 BB/9 FIP WAR
Chris Martin
2023-2024
49.50 0.05 2.25 1.08 9.10 1.00 2.61 2.33
Justin Wilson
2023-2024
30.00 0.03 2.80 0.73 4.92 1.25 2.37 -0.26
Hunter Strickland
2023-2024
36.00 0.01 1.66 0.55 3.50 1.48 2.22 0.96
Danny Coulombe
2023-2024
45.50 0.03 2.47 0.89 9.94 1.81 2.83 1.53
Average 40.25 0.03 2.30 0.81 6.87 1.39 2.51 1.14
Justin Topa
2024-2025
28.50 0.07 1.95 0.93 7.53 1.35 2.24 0.69
Pct Change -29.19 133.33 15.22 -14.81 9.61 2.88 10.76 -39.47
Median Prime % Change 6.25%
Average Prime % Change 11.04%

Calculated Market Value: Justin Topa

After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.

Terms Avg. Salary
1 years, $3,913,232 $3,913,232
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