Tarik Skubal
2026 Payroll Salary
$32,000,000
2026 Cash
$32,000,000
Career Earnings
$27,214,656
2026-2026 Arbitration (CURRENT)
| Year | Age | YOS | Status | PayrollAnnual | Luxury Tax | Tax % League Tax | Cash Annual | Cash Cumulative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
|
29 | 5.114 |
Arb Settled (P)
|
$32,000,000 | $32,000,000 | 13.11% | $32,000,000 | $32,000,000 |
| 2027 |
|
30 | - |
UFA |
| Year | Age | Service | Status | Base Salary | Incentives Likely | Incentives Unlikely | Payroll Salary | Luxury Tax | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
|
29 | 5.114 |
Arb Settled (P)
|
$32,000,000 | - | - | $32,000,000 | $32,000,000 |
| 2027 |
|
30 | -- |
UFA |
| Year | Age | Status | Base Salary | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Cash Remaining | AYC Cumulative | AYC Remaining | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
|
29 |
Arb Settled (P) |
$32,000,000 | $32,000,000 | $32,000,000 | $32,000,000 | $32,000,000 | $32,000,000 |
2025-2025 Arbitration
2024-2024 Arbitration
2023-2023 Pre-Arbitration
2022-2022 Pre-Arbitration
2021-2021 Pre-Arbitration
2020-2020 Pre-Arbitration
2018-2018 Signing Bonus
Seasons
5.114 Years
Career Earnings thru 2026
$16,014,656
Earnings w/ Different Teams
1 team
Earnings Per Year
| Year | Age | Team(s) | Service | Status | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Awards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 |
|
- |
Signing Bonus
|
$350,000 |
$350,000 |
|
| 2020 | 23 |
|
0 |
Active
|
$130,830 |
$480,830 |
|
| 2021 | 24 |
|
0.114 |
Active
|
$574,300 |
$1,055,130 |
|
| 2022 | 25 |
|
1.114 |
Injured
Pre-Arb Bonus Pool
|
$713,600 $293,739 |
$1,768,730 $2,062,469 |
|
| 2023 | 26 |
|
2.114 |
Active
Pre-Arb Bonus Pool
|
$743,700 $408,487 |
$2,806,169 $3,214,656 |
|
| 2024 | 27 |
|
3.114 |
Active / Arb Avoided
|
$2,650,000 |
$5,864,656 |
All MLB (1st) AL Cy Young |
| 2025 | 28 |
|
4.114 |
Active / Arb Avoided
|
$10,150,000 |
$16,014,656 |
AL Cy Young All MLB (1st) |
| Total |
$16,014,656 |
$16,014,656 |
|||||
| 2026 | 29 |
|
5.114 |
Active / Arb Settled (P)
|
$32,000,000 |
||
| Total |
$48,014,656 |
Earnings Per Team
| Years | Team | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
|
$15,664,656 | $350,000 | - | $16,014,656 |
| Year | Team(s) | Age | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 |
|
21 |
$350,000 |
$350,000 |
$350,000 |
||
| 2020 |
|
23 |
$130,830
|
$130,830 |
$480,830 |
||
| 2021 |
|
24 |
$574,300
|
$574,300 |
$1,055,130 |
||
| 2022 |
|
25 |
$713,600 $293,739
|
$713,600 $293,739 |
$1,768,730 $2,062,469 |
||
| 2023 |
|
26 |
$743,700 $408,487
|
$743,700 $408,487 |
$2,806,169 $3,214,656 |
||
| 2024 |
|
27 |
$2,650,000
|
$2,650,000 |
$5,864,656 |
||
| 2025 |
|
28 |
$10,150,000
|
$10,150,000 |
$16,014,656 |
||
| Total |
$15,664,656 |
$350,000 |
$16,014,656 |
$16,014,656 |
|||
| 2026 |
|
29 |
$32,000,000
|
$32,000,000 |
|||
| Total |
$47,664,656 |
$350,000 |
$48,014,656 |
Earnings Per Team
| Years | Team | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
|
$15,664,656 | $350,000 | - | $16,014,656 |
Injuries
| Year | Dates | Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 |
|
Mar 30, 2023 - Jul 04, 2023 | Arm |
| 2022 |
|
Aug 03, 2022 - Oct 05, 2022 | Arm |
-
Feb 05, 2026
Signed a 1 year $32 million contract with Detroit (DET), settling in arbitration
-
Jan 08, 2026
Player: $32M; Team (DET): $19M
-
Jan 09, 2025
Signed a 1 year $10.15 million contract with Detroit (DET), avoiding arbitration
-
Jan 11, 2024
Signed a 1 year $2.65 million contract with Detroit (DET), avoiding arbitration
-
Mar 01, 2023
Signed a 1 year $743,700 contract with Detroit (DET)
-
Mar 01, 2022
Signed a 1 year $713,600 contract with Detroit (DET)
-
Mar 01, 2021
Signed a 1 year $574,300 contract with Detroit (DET)
-
Jun 20, 2018
Signed a contract with Detroit (DET)
-
Jun 04, 2018
Drafted by Detroit (DET): Round 9 (#255 overall)
-
Jul 07, 2017
Unsigned by Arizona (ARI)
-
Jun 14, 2017
Drafted by Arizona (ARI): Round 29 (#862 overall)
| Year | Team | GP | GS | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | W | L | SV | IP | ERA | WHIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | DET | 31 | 31 | 141 | 55 | 48 | 33 | 241 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 195.3 | 2.21 | 0.89 | 6.53 |
| 2024 | DET | 31 | 31 | 142 | 54 | 51 | 35 | 228 | 15 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 192.0 | 2.39 | 0.92 | 6.33 |
| 2023 | DET | 15 | 15 | 58 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 102 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 80.3 | 2.80 | 0.90 | 2.01 |
| 2022 | DET | 21 | 20 | 104 | 53 | 46 | 32 | 117 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 117.7 | 3.52 | 1.16 | 1.44 |
| 2021 | DET | 31 | 29 | 141 | 76 | 72 | 47 | 164 | 35 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 149.3 | 4.34 | 1.26 | 1.74 |
| 2020 | DET | 8 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 20 | 11 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 32.0 | 5.63 | 1.22 | -0.09 |
Calculated Market Value
Market Value
- 8 years, $299,638,536
- Avg. Salary: $37,454,817
- MLB Rank: 7
- SP Rank: 3
Current Contract
- Free Agent: 2027
- Avg. Salary: $32,000,000
- MLB Rank: 21
- SP Rank: 8
Comparable Players
We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Tarik Skubal to.
| Player | Length | Value | Avg. Salary | Age When Signed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Crochet | 6 | $170,000,000 | $28,333,333 | 25 |
| Carlos Rodon | 6 | $162,000,000 | $27,000,000 | 30 |
| Zack Wheeler | 3 | $126,000,000 | $42,000,000 | 33 |
| Tyler Glasnow | 5 | $136,562,500 | $27,312,500 | 30 |
| Averages | 5 | $148,640,625 | $31,161,458 | 29.5 |
Base Calculated Value
After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Skubal's current age (29), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.
| Length | Value | Avg. Salary |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | $226,156,924 | $32,308,132 |
Statistical Comparisons
Now we'll compare our variables and Skubal statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: GS/Yr, IP, K/9, BB/9, ERA, WHIP, FIP, WAR
| Player | GS/Yr | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | ERA | WHIP | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Garrett Crochet
2024-2025
|
32.00 | 5.49 | 12.03 | 2.02 | 3.09 | 1.05 | 2.79 | 5.54 |
|
Carlos Rodon
2021-2022
|
27.50 | 5.65 | 12.26 | 2.54 | 2.63 | 0.99 | 2.45 | 6.37 |
|
Zack Wheeler
2023-2024
|
32.00 | 6.12 | 10.01 | 2.08 | 3.09 | 1.02 | 3.14 | 5.47 |
|
Tyler Glasnow
2022-2023
|
11.50 | 5.51 | 12.82 | 2.74 | 2.44 | 0.99 | 2.94 | 3.49 |
| Average | 25.75 | 5.69 | 11.78 | 2.35 | 2.81 | 1.01 | 2.83 | 5.22 |
|
Tarik Skubal
2024-2025
|
31.00 | 6.25 | 10.90 | 1.58 | 2.30 | 0.91 | 2.47 | 7.05 |
| Pct Change | 20.39 | 9.84 | -7.47 | 32.77 | 18.15 | 9.90 | 12.72 | 35.06 |
| Median Prime % Change | 15.44% | |||||||
| Average Prime % Change | 16.42% | |||||||
Calculated Market Value: Tarik Skubal
After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.
| Terms | Avg. Salary |
|---|---|
| 8 years, $299,638,536 | $37,454,817 |
