Lavonte David has been one of the best kept secrets on the defensive side of the ball through three full seasons in Tampa Bay. Highly under the radar, David's 4 yaer $3.6M rookie contract is set to expire after the 2015 season, making him a prime candidate for an upcoming extension with the Buccaneers.
At just 25 years old, David is a young, dynamic outside linebacker for Tampa's prolific 4-3 structure. We'll stack his recent production up against other 4-3 OLBs who signed extensions at a similar age with their respective teams to produce a value forecast for what his forthcoming contract might look like.
|Player||Length||Value||Avg. Salary||Guaranteed||Age When Signed|
Related: View the list of Top Average Inside Linebackers in the NFL
|Length||Value||Avg. Salary (slope)|
|Thomas Davis (08-09)||11.5||.26||.21||6.08||71.05|
|Vontaze Burfict (12-13)||16||.34||.125||5.875||78.25|
|K.J. Wright (13-14)||14.5||.41||.12||2.58||69.65|
|Bruce Carter (13-14)||14||.21||.1||4.64||74.25|
|Lavonte David (13-14)||15||.7||.26||6.93||81.5|
|MEDIAN PRIME PERCENTAGE:||44.56%|
|Average PRIME PErcentage:||55.70%|
Length of the Contract
While his age certainly isn't a factor, the majority of 4-3 OLBs are signing 4 year extensions. We'll bump this up to 5 years based on his age and level of production.
Value of the Contract
Our base contract outputted a value just north of $30 million over 5 years, or $6M per season, 18th most among active outside linebackers. When factoring in his impressive prime percentages based on statistical production this figure increases to a figure he's likely much more pleased with.
Low Value (HOMETOWN DISCOUNT)
Utilizing our Median Prime Percentage (44.56%), we're forecasting David as the 7th highest average paid OLB:
5 years, $42,500,000 | $8,500,000 per year | $24,000,000 guaranteed
High Value (MAX-VALUE DEAL)
Utilizing our Average Prime Percentage (50.93%), we're forecasting David as the 4th highest average paid OLB:
5 years, $45,000,000 | $9,000,000 per year | $27,200,000 guaranteed
We'll split the difference to offer the best-value forecast for David's next contract: