The "player the Mets got instead of Carlos Gomez" has quickly and somewhat magically turned himself into the talk of the league since his trade to Queens on July 31st. Yoenis Cespedes has instantly become the leader of the Mets lineup, and one of the most clutch players in the game through the 2nd half of the 2015 season. Since the trade, Cespedes has posted 53 hits, 10 doubles, 3 triples, 16 homeruns, 41 RBIs and a .308 average in 40 games. An MVP-esque stretch.
His timing couldn't be better, as the Mets are on their way to a division title - and Cespdes' contract is on its way to expiring. His value has never been higher, and many feel his fit in the Mets lineup should make it a no-brainer to pay the bucks going forward.. We'll assess Cespedes statistically, comparing him to other top outfielders in the game who've recently signed extensions to formulate a projection for what his next contract might look like.
|Player||Length||Value||Avg. Salary||Age When Signed|
|Ryan Braun (2008-2015)||5||$105,000,000||$21,000,000||27|
|Adam Jones (2013-2018)||6||$85,500,000||$14,250,000||28|
|Matt Kemp (2012-2019)||8||$160,000,000||$20,000,000||27|
|Josh Hamilton (2013-2017)||5||$125,000,000||$25,000,000||32|
Related: View the list of Top Average Paid Outfielders in MLB
|Length||Value||Avg. Salary (slope)|
|Ryan Braun (2008-2015)||154.5||1.25||.17||.72||.68||.68||.314|
|Adam Jones (2013-2018)||106.3||1.09||.18||.77||.54||.52||.280|
|Matt Kemp (2012-2019)||158.5||1.07||.21||1.02||.62||.67||.288|
|Josh Hamilton (2013-2017)||71||1.12||.24||.93||.66||.81||.287|
|Yoenis Cespedes (2012-2015)||147||1.11||.19||.86||.63||.69||.277|
|Median Prime % Change||0|
|Average Prime % Change:||1.66%|
Length of the Contract
At 29 years old age is a bit of a red flag - but recent signings have shown that franchises are handing out the money regardless. The average length of our variables contracts was 6 years - a nice round number to work with here.
Value of the Contract
Over the past two seasons in total, Cesepdes is averaging 164 hits, 93 runs, 37 doubles, 28 home runs, 101 RBIs and a nearly .280 batting average. He's also had 22 outfield assists and a 977 fielding percentage over that span. In other words he's producing on just about every level right now. He's also looking for a home. His stint with the Mets makes it 4 teams in 2 years for Yoenis, though he's never looked as comfortable in a lineup as he does right now in New York.
The bottom line here is numbers breed dollars in MLB, and nobody's been on the beginning of highlight reels more than Cesepdes over the last month. Our variable regressions gave us a deal that average $18.725M per year. When factoring in the prime percentages based on his statistical production, we're provided with the following valuation.
Based on calculations, Yoenis Cesepdes' current market value projects him at: