|Player||Length||Value||Avg. Salary||Age When Signed|
At 29 years old, McCann is older than Posey & Mauer when they signed, and right around where Martin and Molina were. We'll adjust the above contracts down to reflect each as if it were signed at the age of 29 to provide a better scope for our base prediction.
Related: View the list of Top Average Paid Catchers in the MLB
|Length||Value||Avg. Salary (slope)|
To formulate an analysis we'll use the following statistics:
Games/Season (G), Runs (R), Hits (H), Home Runs (HR), Batting Average (AVG), and On-Base-Percentage + Slugging (OPS).
Then, to assess how well the player was performing prior to signing their respective contract, we'll show the averages of these statistics three years prior to their signing date.
By comparing the averages of our variable catchers to McCann, we'll be given a percent difference, or Prime Percentage to factor into our base contract predication going forward.
|Buster Posey (2010-12, SF)||100.3||51||116||15||63.7||.308||.858|
|Joe Mauer (2008-10, MIN)||140||93||178||15.3||85.3||.340||.922|
|Russell Martin (2010-12, LAD, NYY)||118.3||50.7||90||14.6||48||.262||.708|
|Yadier Molina (2010-12, STL)||137.7||51.3||142||14||67.7||.294||.786|
|Brian McCann (2011-13, ATL)||117||46||106||21.3||65||.252||.770|
Our base prediction provided us with a 6 year contract, however when age adjusted that figure dropped to an average of 4.5 years. With McCann just 29 years of age and with the reported buzz building come free agent season, it's safe to say this deal will easily start at 6 years (and possibly go higher if need be.)
Value of the Contract
Our base/unadjusted contract provided an average annual salary of $17.5 million, placing him 3rd behind Mauer and Posey respectively. But when factoring in a negative Prime Percentage (-4.24%) due to lower statistical production in comparison to our variable catchers, this number drops accordingly. The experts appear to have this contract spot on in terms of the value of McCann: