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FORMULA 1
- PVF
- OLYMPICS
Projecting 2025 5th-Year Option Salaries
The NFL announced Pro Bowl rosters for the 2023 season, including 9 49ers, 7 Cowboys, 7 Ravens, 6 Eagles, & 6 Dolphins. The list also consists of a few notable pending free agents in WR Mike Evans (TB), ILB Patrick Queen (BAL), RBs Derrick Henry (TEN) & D’Andre Swift (PHI), DTs Chris Jones (KC) & Justin Madubuike (BAL), EDGEs Josh Allen (JAX) & Danielle Hunter (MIN), & CB Jaylon Johnson (CHI).
Since the ratification of the 2020 CBA, NFL 1st Rounder 5th-Year option values have been tied to Pro Bowl selections, so now is the perfect time to dive into the 2021 class. We'll take a run down the entire first round, making note of the player's status in terms of 3-year playing time (see below), any (initial) Pro Bowl selections, & a loose estimate on their 2025 option salary value. All 5th-year options must be decided on by May 2nd, 2024. Per this latest CBA, the salary becomes fully guaranteed as soon as it's exercised.
- TIER 1: A player is selected to two or more Pro Bowls. The 5th-Year Option price is the same as the franchise tag salary at their position from the previous year.
- TIER 2: A player is selected to one Pro Bowl. The 5th-Year Option price is the same amount as the transition tag salary from the previous year.
- TIER 3: A player takes 75% of the team’s offensive or defensive snaps in 2 of their first 3 seasons, OR 50% of the snaps played in each of the 3 seasons, OR a 75% average over all three seasons. The 5th-Year Option price is the 5-year average of the 3rd-20th highest paid players at their position.
- TIER 4: A player does not meet any of the above criteria. The 5th-Year Option price is the 5-year average of the 3rd-25th highest paid players at their position.
PICK | TEAM | PLAYER | POS | PLAYING TIME | PRO BOWLS | ESTIMATED 5TH-YEAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAC | Trevor Lawrence | QB | Pass | 0 | $20,000,000 |
2 | NYJ | Zach Wilson | QB | Fail | 0 | $18,500,000 |
3 | SF | Trey Lance | QB | Fail | 0 | $18,500,000 |
4 | ATL | Kyle Pitts | TE | Fail | 1 | $10,400,000 |
5 | CIN | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | Pass | 3 | $20,700,000 |
6 | MIA | Jaylen Waddle | WR | Pass | 0 | $17,014,000 |
7 | DET | Penei Sewell | RT | Pass | 2 | $19,900,000 |
8 | CAR | Jaycee Horn | CB | Fail | 0 | $10,500,000 |
9 | DEN | Patrick Surtain II | CB | Pass | 2 | $18,800,000 |
10 | PHI | DeVonta Smith | WR | Pass | 0 | $17,014,000 |
11 | CHI | Justin Fields | QB | Pass | 0 | $19,905,000 |
12 | DAL | Micah Parsons | ILB | Pass | 3 | $20,200,000 |
13 | LAC | Rashawn Slater | LT | Fail | 1 | $19,500,000 |
14 | NYJ | Alijah Vera-Tucker | OL | Fail | 0 | $15,000,000 |
15 | NE | Mac Jones | QB | Pass | 0 | $20,000,000 |
16 | ARI | Zaven Collins | LB | Fail | 0 | $12,000,000 |
17 | LV | Alex Leatherwood | RT | Fail | 0 | N/A |
18 | MIA | Jaelan Phillips | LB | Fail | 0 | $12,000,000 |
19 | WAS | Jamin Davis | LB | Pass | 0 | $13,000,000 |
20 | NYG | Kadarius Toney | WR | Fail | 0 | $13,000,000 |
21 | IND | Kwity Paye | DE | Fail | 0 | $13,000,000 |
22 | TEN | Caleb Farley | CB | Fail | 0 | $10,500,000 |
23 | MIN | Christian Darrisaw | OL | Pass | 0 | $16,000,000 |
24 | PIT | Najee Harris | RB | Pass | 0 | $6,500,000 |
25 | JAC | Travis Etienne | RB | Fail | 0 | $5,500,000 |
26 | CLE | Greg Newsome | CB | Pass | 0 | $11,750,000 |
27 | BAL | Rashod Bateman | WR | Fail | 0 | $13,000,000 |
28 | NO | Payton Turner | DE | Fail | 0 | $13,000,000 |
29 | GB | Eric Stokes | CB | Fail | 0 | $10,500,000 |
30 | BUF | Greg Rousseau | DE | Fail | 0 | $13,000,000 |
31 | BAL | Odafe Oweh | OLB | Fail | 0 | $12,000,000 |
32 | TB | Joe Tryon | OLB | Fail | 0 | $12,000,000 |
CATEGORIES
- NBA 94
- NFL 67
- GOLF 55
- NWSL 48
- MLB 27
- NHL 1
AUTHORS
- Michael Ginnitti NFL, MLB
- Keith Smith NBA
- Scott Allen Contributor
- Taylor Vincent NWSL
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