MLB Season Long Odds Market: August 26

Dan Soemann
Dan Soemann, Resident MLB ExpertAugust 26, 2022
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MLB rosters expand to 28 next week which means we’re approaching the last month of the regular season. It’s an exciting checkpoint for everyone as contenders make their final push and other teams get a look at younger players within their organization. Most divisions have clear separation at this point so it’s a great time to change things up and check in on World Series odds and values.

Favorites:  Dodgers, Astros, Yankees, Mets

There are four clear favorites and it’s hard to make an argument against any of them but there’s not much value here from a betting perspective. The Mets are the clear value as they have the longest odds of the group but a similar projected World Series win percentage as the rest.

Long Shot Division Leaders:  Cardinals, Guardians

I’ve been skeptical of St. Louis all season but they made great deadline moves to deepen their rotation and look firmly in control of the NL Central. Their offense is good enough to carry them in any series but despite the pitching upgrades I’m still not convinced they have a World Series level rotation. It will be an incredible story if Cleveland can get this across the finish line but I’m not sure anyone outside of that clubhouse thinks they have legit World Series potential.

Wildcard:  Braves, Blue Jays, Padres, Phillies, Mariners, Rays

This group is where all the value lives. A few of these teams are still in contention for their division and any of the six could easily make noise in October. Atlanta and San Diego are my favorites as they have two of the best rosters in the league but seem underrated since they’re stuck behind the powerhouse Mets and Dodgers. I also like Seattle as a team with a dynamic offense, three core starters and a shutdown bullpen.

In The Hunt:  Brewers, White Sox, Twins

Not only are they longs hots to win it all but it’ll be an uphill climb for these teams to even make the playoffs if they turn it around quickly. I’d stay away entirely unless you see an edge.


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