Jeremy Guthrie Embed This NEW

Starting Pitcher Age: 37 Exp: 9.13 Years
Drafted: Round 1 (#22 overall), 2002 College: Stanford Agent(s): Excel Sports Management
Player Status: Minor
  • Current Contract

    Jeremy Guthrie signed a 1 year / $507,500 contract with the Miami Marlins, including $507,500 guaranteed, and an annual average salary of $507,500. In 2016, Guthrie will earn a base salary of $507,500. Guthrie has a cap hit of $507,500.

    Contract: 1 yr(s) / $507,500
    Signing Bonus -
    Average Salary $507,500
    Free Agent: 2017 / UFA
    Year   Age Status Base Salary Total Salary
    2016 Contract details by year 37 $507,500 $507,500
    2017 Free Agent Year 38 UFA  
    Sources: MLB contract specifics generally collected from Baseball Prospectus & Rotoworld.

    Current Dead Contracts

    Year   Base Salary Signing Bonus Dead Salary
    2016 Contract details by year $3,200,000 - $3,200,000

    Previous Contracts

    2016-2016

    Contract: 1 yr(s) / $1,250,000
    Signing Bonus -
    Average Salary $1,250,000
    Free Agent: 2017 / UFA
    Year   Age Base Salary Total Salary
    2016 Contract details by year 37 $1,250,000 $1,250,000
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  • Estimated Career Earnings

    Year Team Salary Signing Bonus Incentive Total Cash
    2003 Player Cash Earnings $625,000 $2,000,000 - $2,625,000
    2004 Player Cash Earnings $625,000 - - $625,000
    2005 Player Cash Earnings $625,000 - - $625,000
    2006 Player Cash Earnings $625,000 - - $625,000
    2007 Player Cash Earnings $380,000 - - $380,000
    2008 Player Cash Earnings $770,000 - - $770,000
    2009 Player Cash Earnings $650,000 - - $650,000
    2010 Player Cash Earnings $3,000,000 - - $3,000,000
    2011 Player Cash Earnings $5,750,000 - - $5,750,000
    2012 Player Cash Earnings $8,200,000 - - $8,200,000
    2013 Player Cash Earnings $5,000,000 - - $5,000,000
    2014 Player Cash Earnings $8,000,000 - - $8,000,000
    2015 Player Cash Earnings $9,000,000 - - $9,000,000
    2016 Player Cash Earnings $3,200,000 - - $3,200,000
    Est. Earnings (14 seasons) $46,450,000 $2,000,000 - $48,450,000
    * denotes deferred payment
  •  

    Statistics

    Season Team GP GS IP H R ER BB K HR W L S ERA WHIP
    2015 KC 30 24 148.1 186 101 98 44 84 29 8 8 0 5.95 1.551
    2014 KC 33 32 202.2 215 100 93 49 124 23 13 11 0 4.13 1.303
    2013 KC 33 33 211.2 236 99 95 59 111 30 15 12 0 4.04 1.394
    2012 COL 38 29 181.2 206 109 96 50 101 30 8 12 0 4.76 1.409
    2011 BAL 35 32 208. 213 113 100 66 130 26 9 17 0 4.33 1.341
    2010 BAL 32 32 209.1 193 93 89 50 119 25 11 14 0 3.83 1.161
    2009 BAL 35 33 200. 224 120 112 60 110 35 10 17 0 5.04 1.42
    2008 BAL 31 30 190.2 176 82 77 58 120 24 10 12 0 3.64 1.227
  • Calculated Market Value

    Market Value

    • 3 yrs, $31,934,215
    • Avg. Salary: $10,644,738
    • MLB Rank: 119

    Current Contract

    • Free Agent: 2017
    • Avg. Salary: $507,500
    • MLB Rank: 0

    Comparable Players

    We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Jeremy Guthrie to.

    Player Length Value Avg. Salary Age When Signed
    Kyle Kendrick 1 $5,500,000 $5,500,000 30
    Jason Vargas 4 $32,000,000 $8,000,000 30
    Mark Buehrle 4 $58,000,000 $14,500,000 32
    Tim Lincecum 2 $35,000,000 $17,500,000 29
    Averages 2.8 $32,625,000 $11,863,636 30.3


    Base Calculated Value

    After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Guthrie's current age (37), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.

    Length Value Avg. Salary
    3 $35,310,811 $11,770,270


    Statistical Comparisons

    Now we'll compare our variables and Guthrie statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: Games Started, Innings Pitched per game, Wins/Start, Strikeouts per 9 innings, ERA, WHIP per season

    Player GS IP/G W/S SO ERA WHIP
    Kyle Kendrick 2013-2014, COL 31.00 5.95 0.32 3.61 4.65 1.38
    Jason Vargas 2012-2013, KC 28.50 6.44 0.40 4.39 3.92 1.26
    Mark Buehrle 2010-2011, MIA 32.00 6.49 0.41 3.25 3.94 1.35
    Tim Lincecum 2012-2013, SF 32.50 5.9 0.31 5.89 4.76 1.39
    Average 31.00 6.20 0.36 4.29 4.32 1.35
    Jeremy Guthrie 2014-2015 28.00 5.57 0.38 3.3 4.90 1.41
    % Change -9.68% -10.16% 5.56% -23.08% -13.43% -4.44%
    Median Prime % Change -9.92%
    Average Prime % Change -9.21%


    Jeremy Guthrie's Calculated Market Value

    After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.

    Terms Avg. Salary
    3 years, $31,934,215 10,644,738