NFL Offensive Leaders, Financially

November 26th, 2014

When looking at the offensive statistical leaders through Week 12 from a salary cap standpoint, we find that many of the top performers in 2014 are not necessarily (even close to) the top paid players. The following shows the cap ranking for the top 3 passing, rushing, and receiving yard gainers thus far.

Passing Leaders

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Andrew Luck leads all quarterbacks with 3,641 passing yards to go along with 29 touchdowns. His $6 million cap figure ranks 18th among 2014 QBs. Luck will be eligible for an extension after the season, and will certainly have his 5th year option exercised as a backup plan.

Related:
» 2015 Free Agent Quarterbacks
» Quarterback Cap Hit Rankings

Player Team Pass YD 2014 Cap $ Rank
Andrew Luck IND 3641 $6,029,454 18
Peyton Manning DEN 3558 $17,500,000 7
Drew Brees NO 3491 $18,400,000 4

 

Rushing Leaders

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All three of these backs have cap figures that rank out of the Top 30 among all active running backs this year. With this being said, Murray and Forsett are both set to be free agents after the 2014 season. While Bell has another season in Pittsburgh before he’s extension-eligible ($1,123,800 2015 cap).

Related:
» 2015 Free Agent Running Backs
» Running Back Cap Hit Rankings

Player Team Rush YD 2014 Cap $ Rank
DeMarco Murray DAL 1354 $1,596,625 31
Le’Veon Bell PIT 951 $936,500 44
Justin Forsett BAL 903 $570,000 70

 

Receiving Leaders

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All of the leading receivers have cap figures ranked 25th or lower. Demaryius Thomas is one of the biggest names set to hit the free agent market, though it’s likely Denver will slap the franchise tag on him to keep him around if they have to. Like his QB, T.Y. Hilton is eligible to be extended this offseason, while his $796,850 cap figure in 2015 ranks 75th.

Related:
» 2015 Free Agent Wide Receivers
» Wide Receiver Cap Hit Rankings

Player Team Rec YD 2014 Cap $ Rank
Demaryius Thomas DEN 1192 $4,700,000 25
Antonio Brown PIT 1161 $4,517,500 27
T.Y. Hilton IND 1083 $706,850 95

 
 

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Best Value NFL Teams/Players of Week 11

November 19th, 2014

Week 11 Best-Value Teams

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# Team TVS
1. New England Patriots 15.37
2. St. Louis Rams 11.84
3. San Francisco 49ers 8.83
4. Arizona Cardinals 7.87
5. Carolina Panthers 7.59

We’ve finally come to that time of year where the Patriots have fully supplanted dominance, not only in the standings but in terms of flat out value as well. Every year New England lets seemingly above average talent walk, replaced by 2-3 cheaper players who find a way to work, if not excel. Week 11 was the coming out party for RB Jonas Gray, Jamie Collins, and plenty of others. It’s also notable to remember in terms of value that Tom Brady‘s $14.3M cap figure ranks 12th among QBs.

The Rams continue to outplay great 2014 teams with their week 11 defeat of the Denver Broncos. St. Louis was led by excellent special teams and secondary production in addition to the usually elite play from Robert Quinn.

The 49ers defense made a statement this week as LB Chris Borland and Aaron Lynch combined with Ray McDonald and Chris Culliver for outstanding value ratings. While the Arizona Cardinals saw strong play from their excellent secondary, and a surprisingly reliable offensive line.

 

Week 11 Worst-Value Teams

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# Team TVS
32 Seattle Seahawks -13.23
31 Philadelphia Eagles -11.71
30 New York Giants -8.50
29 Buffalo Bills -7.90
28 Green Bay Packers -7.87

The Seahawks were exposed a bit by a tenacious Chiefs defense in Week 11, in large part to the lack of production from the running game and offensive line – two of the most expensive positions on their roster.

The Eagles lack of value is a team effort this week, as 13 players find themselves with a negative rating, led by CB Bradley Fletcher (-3), and RB LeSean McCoy (-2.8). The entire linebacking committe posted an average -1.5 rating this week as well.

Eli Manning might not be the only reason the Giants aren’t posting W’s to the standings, but with the 2nd highest cap figure in football, he needs a lot more production to scale closer to a "value". All five offensive lineman and RB Rashad Jennings posted negative values in Week 11, and safety Antrel Rolle led all Giants with a -3.

The Bills simply aren’t getting enough (any) production from their veterans as we head toward the final quarter of the 2014 season. Buffalo is getting strong value from players like Preston Brown (LB), Seantrel Henderson (OT), and Jerry Hughes (DE), but are struggling due to poor values from Erik Pears (G), Kyle Orton (QB), and Leodis McKelvin (CB).

 

Week 11 Advanced-Stat Best-Value Team

This week’s edition of the All-Value team carries a combined cap figure of just $31.5M, and is led by 3 Rams and 3 Steelers.

Pos. Player Team 2014 Cap TVS
QB Russell Wilson SEA $817,302 2.23
RB Jonas Gray NE $271,765 3.25
RB Le’Veon Bell PIT $936,500 2.69
WR Alshon Jeffery CHI $1,240,317 3.29
WR Kelvin Benjamin CAR $1,393,500 2.77
TE Coby Fleener IND $1,456,813 3.79
TE Chase Coffman TEN $469,411 2.33
LT Kelvin Beachum PIT $581,474 3.26
G Ben Jones HOU $690,362 3.04
C Rodney Hudson KC $1,115,577 2.06
G Joe Berger MIN $635,000 4.18
RT Ryan Harris KC $570,000 7.84
DE Ray McDonald SF $3,230,985 3.04
DT Sharrif Floyd MIN $1,835,500 3.86
DT Dan Williams ARI $2,185,000 3.11
DE Brett Keisel PIT $1,250,000 2.17
OLB Danny Lansanah TB $570,000 2.45
ILB Chris Borland SF $574,359 3.05
ILB Jamie Collins NE $854,773 2.89
OLB Thomas Davis CAR $3,400,000 2.31
CB Desmond Trufant ATL $1,855,870 2.02
S T.J. McDonald STL $680,815 4.31
S Reshad Jones MIA $2,995,882 2.53
CB Trumaine Johnson STL $823,794 2.01
K Greg Zuerlein STL $617,756 2.79
P Sam Martin DET $535,075 2.31

 

Complete Week 11 Team Value Rankings

TEAM OFF. DEF. S/T TOTAL
New England Patriots 9.75 6.41 -0.79 15.37
St. Louis Rams 1.12 5.92 4.80 11.84
San Francisco 49ers -2.83 13.25 -1.59 8.83
Arizona Cardinals 1.84 3.80 2.23 7.87
Carolina Panthers -0.20 9.34 -1.55 7.59
Jacksonville Jaguars 4.87 2.27 -1.36 5.78
Detroit Lions -3.86 4.65 4.35 5.14
Cincinnati Bengals 10.68 -6.63 0.02 4.07
Pittsburgh Steelers 10.28 -5.56 -0.84 3.88
Houston Texans 5.88 -0.55 -2.08 3.25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.89 -0.14 0.40 2.15
Minnesota Vikings -2.48 5.83 -1.39 1.96
Oakland Raiders -3.23 3.20 1.79 1.76
Atlanta Falcons -4.55 4.80 1.31 1.56
Kansas City Chiefs 5.56 -1.70 -2.60 1.26
Denver Broncos -0.93 2.53 -0.37 1.23
Miami Dolphins -5.67 6.19 0.61 1.13
Dallas Cowboys -1.08 0.67 0.89 0.48
New York Jets -1.82 2.01 -0.63 -0.44
Chicago Bears -3.02 4.85 -2.45 -0.62
Tennessee Titans 6.10 -6.70 -0.67 -1.27
Baltimore Ravens 2.53 -4.90 0.10 -2.27
Washington Redskins -8.43 3.49 0.14 -4.80
New Orleans Saints -4.88 -0.68 -0.34 -5.90
San Diego Chargers -4.47 -0.46 -1.60 -6.53
Indianapolis Colts 2.37 -10.44 1.32 -6.75
Cleveland Browns -0.54 -8.77 1.95 -7.36
Green Bay Packers 3.73 -9.25 -2.35 -7.87
Buffalo Bills -6.45 -2.22 0.77 -7.90
New York Giants -7.59 -0.86 -0.05 -8.50
Philadelphia Eagles -4.50 -7.00 -0.21 -11.71
Seattle Seahawks -0.05 -13.38 0.20 -13.23

How Do We Calculate True Value?

In order to calculate the True Value Statistic, we first collect the weekly Pro Football Focus rating for each starting player in the NFL. From there we work positionally, finding the Average PFF rating for all players in a particular position for that week. We also collect the Standard Deviation for this data set. Subsequently, we find the Average, and Standard Deviation of the 2014 Cap Figure for all players in a particular position. To normalize this data and prep for calculation, we then find the Z-Score of our Statistical Rating, and the Z-Score of our Financial Rating. These two Z-Scores are then added to produce a player’s current TVS.

For example:
Ryan Tannehill’s Week 1 PFF rating was 3.2
The average PFF rating of all Week 1 QBs is -0.29
The standard deviation of all Week 1 QBs is 2.78
To find the z-score, we calculate (3.2 – (-.29)) / 2.78 = 1.25

Ryan Tannehill’s 2014 cap figure is $3,455,046
The average 2014 cap figure of all Week 1 QBs is $9,174,096
The standard deviation of all Week 1 QBs is $7,097,100
To find the z-score, we calculate (9,174,096 – 3,455,046)/7,097,100 = .805

Tannehill’s Week 1 TVS = 2.05

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Potential 2015 Franchise Tagged Players

November 18th, 2014

USATSI_8194507_160074578_lowresFor the purposes of this projection we’ll use a $142M team salary cap to calculate the estimated franchise tag values. Obviously things will slide up/down as this becomes finalized in February.
 

Dez Bryant | WR | DAL | Est. $12.7M

The Cowboys seem primed to keep Bryant under¬†low-risk terms for as long as possible. It’s certainly possible a long-term deal gets done next spring, but if not they’ll most certainly tag Bryant to keep him a Cowboy for at least a little longer.
 

Demaryius Thomas | WR | DEN | Est. $12.7M

The Broncos have 9 starters set to hit free agency, maybe none more important than Thomas. He’s improved upon a great 2013 this season and is valuing at nearly $18M/year in our calculations. A 1 year tag at less than $13M would be a steal, especially in Peyton’s final season (?).
 

Justin Houston | LB/DE | KC | Est. $13.2M/$14.9M

It’s safe to assume the Chiefs would love to extend Houston right now. But with little to no cap space, that’s simply not feasible. He’ll be slapped with the tag in hopes that a deal can be put together over the summer.
 

Devin McCourty | S | NE | Est. $9.5M

As per usual, McCourty finds himself as a Top 10 rated safety according to Pro Football Focus. The Patriots aren’t notorious for extending players to long-term deals, so it’s likely McCourty is slapped with the tag for the time being.
 

Brian Orakpo | OLB | WAS | Est. $13.7M

He was franchise tagged in 2014 ($11.455M) and hit the injured reserve just a few weeks in (proving why he’s still too risky for a long-term extension). When he’s healthy, he’s a major impact to the Redskins’ defense. Will the $13.7M be worth the risk?
 

Honorable Mention

 
Related: Complete list of 2015 NFL Free Agents

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NFL Team 2015 Cap Allocation & Space

November 17th, 2014

USATSI_8195249_160074578_lowresThe NFL team salary cap is projected to rise steeply for the 2015 season, thanks in large part to the culmination of new television packages. We’ll use the recently projected figure of $140,000,000 to guage how each NFL team currently looks in terms of next year’s cap allocation. We’ve also included our real-time 2014 cap space figures for each team that can potentially be rolled into 2015. The estimated cap space figures include this rollover.

High Rollers

The New Orleans Saints currently lead all teams with nearly $159M allocated to 43 players on their 2015 salary cap table, including 5 players with a figure north of $10M. At $26.4M, QB Drew Brees carries the biggest hit, 2nd only to Cowboys QB Tony Romo ($27.73M) among all NFL players. It’s highly likely Brees is asked to restructure this offseason.

The 49ers also find themselves over the $150M mark currently, in large part to Colin Kaepernick’s cap jump from $3.7M to $17.2M. The 49ers have 50 players under contract in 2015, loaded with veteran contracts, most of which contain low dead cap figures in 2015. Look for plenty of restructures or flat out cap-casualty releases this coming offseason.

Low Ballers

On the other side of the table, the Oakland Raiders have just $85.1M allocated 39 players on their 2015 table. Add in a $7M rollover from 2014 and the Raiders hold an estimated $61M in space to work with. This number could increase quickly if players like backup QB Matt Schaub & backup RB Maurice Jones-Drew are cut loose ($8M in cap savings).

Not far behind, the Jacksonville Jaguars once again find themselves in a great position to spend this offseason. The Jaguars currently have $94M allocated to 45 2015 players, tied with a $29M potential rollover from 2014, and they hold an estimated $74M in cap space. This figure can increase should questionable contracts be removed or restructured this offseason (oft-injured LB Paul Posluszny, embattled WR Justin Blackmon, overpaid TE Marcedes Lewis).

Team
Est. 2014 Rollover
2015 Allocated Cap
Est. Space
Arizona Cardinals$0$146,534,161-$6,534,161
Atlanta Falcons$2,548,720$113,083,988$29,464,732
Baltimore Ravens$5,000,225$136,273,518$8,726,707
Buffalo Bills$2,989,039$120,952,736$22,036,303
Carolina Panthers$5,582,007$125,979,824$19,602,183
Chicago Bears$2,084,726$107,549,837$34,534,889
Cincinnati Bengals$10,142,066$107,634,265$42,507,801
Cleveland Browns$20,439,771$102,473,382$57,966,389
Dallas Cowboys$4,140,703$135,004,657$9,136,046
Denver Broncos$3,554,712$107,472,996$36,081,716
Detroit Lions$458,036$121,292,867$19,165,169
Green Bay Packers$7,798,512$120,764,952$27,033,560
Houston Texans$2,782,989$127,394,275$15,388,714
Indianapolis Colts$10,550,459$107,412,524$43,137,935
Jacksonville Jaguars$28,622,271$93,900,771$74,721,500
Kansas City Chiefs$1,665,344$135,914,340$5,751,004
Miami Dolphins$7,984,158$141,525,325$6,458,833
Minnesota Vikings$4,724,720$123,119,413$21,605,307
New England Patriots$7,499,738$135,106,381$12,393,357
New Orleans Saints$1,709,021$158,578,450-$16,869,429
New York Giants$485,075$118,475,632$22,009,443
New York Jets$15,451,686$97,707,426$57,744,260
Oakland Raiders$6,927,526$85,102,297$61,825,229
Philadelphia Eagles$14,969,321$134,077,997$20,891,324
Pittsburgh Steelers$11,663,803$133,989,235$17,674,568
San Diego Chargers$1,325,244$113,931,672$27,393,572
San Francisco 49ers$4,378,850$150,714,434-$6,335,584
Seattle Seahawks$6,856,730$105,104,305$41,752,425
St. Louis Rams$0$133,874,488$6,125,512
Tampa Bay Buccaneers$2,038,576$105,771,567$36,267,009
Tennessee Titans11,531,895$$103,630,845$47,901,050
Washington Redskins$171,515$119,959,678$32,537,250

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QB Contracts Likely Altered in 2015

November 17th, 2014

Now more than half way through the 2014 season, many teams are playing themselves out of the current playoff picture, and into “next year” mode. We’ll do the same temporarily, taking a look at notable quarterbacks whose current contracts may need attention this offseason. Some may simply need a restructure to reduce the bloated cap figure, others may be nearing expiration and due an extension. And others may simply be on the bubble because of their pay/production value to the team.
 

Drew Brees | Age: 35 | 2015 Cap: $26,400,000

USATSI_8194134_160074578_lowresNot only is Brees’ $26.4M cap figure gigantic, but it contributes to a whopping $158.5M cap dollars currently allocated to the Saints 2015 roster. With a projected $140M team cap for the season, there’s plenty of work to do in New Orleans to get things mathematically secure.  

Current Contract

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Our Thoughts

His current contract only runs through 2016, meaning the Saints would likely tack on additional years to spread any restructured money out the maximum five years. With more than half of his $18.75M base salary set to become fully guaranteed in 2015, it’s likely the restructure could range from $8-$10M, meaning his total “dead cap” in 2015 could jump to nearly $25M, essentially ensuring his roster spot for the next season.
 
 

Ben Roethlisberger | Age:32 | 2015 Cap: $18,395,000

USATSI_8194643_160074578_lowresBig Ben has been playing out his current contract since March 3rd, 2008 and is slated to enter the final year of the deal in 2015. While his $18.395M cap figure isn’t eye-popping, at just 32 years of age, if the Steelers plan should continue to include Ben as their franchise QB, it makes sense to extend him.
The Steelers also have $134M cap dollars allocated to 37 players in 2015 so any cap relief is welcomed.

Current Contract

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Our Thoughts

With an aging defense that needs pieces to be rebuilt throughout, the approach the Patriots took with Tom Brady a year ago seems to fit the bill here. Brady received a large chunk of cash upfront ($33M in 2013) in order to keep his annual salary and cap figures in the lower teens over 5 seasons. A QB with cap figures of $13M-$14M allows his team to fill needs with better players – it’s that simple.
 
 

Sam Bradford | Age: 27 | 2015 Cap: $16,580,000

USATSI_7509379_160074578_lowresWith back to back seasons on the reserve/injured list, the 2010 1st overall selection may have played his last down as a Ram. The final year of his contract comes with $12.985M cash, and a $16.58M cap figure, both too high for the risk that Bradford now comes with.

Current Contract

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Our Thoughts

Maybe Bradford agrees to a paycut to try to win the starting spot back this offseason? With no guaranteed salary remaining ($3,595,000 in dead cap from his signing bonus), the Rams can get creative with his salary in order to give him a final shot.

While it’s easy to say the Rams will just cut ties with him – they’ve made little to no additions to their roster to prepare for it. Austin Davis looked OK for a few weeks at the helm, and will be a restricted free agent this offseason. While current starting QB Shaun Hill is set to become an unrestricted free agent. Barring a splash in the 2015 draft, the Rams simply don’t have a franchise QB to take over the reigns from Bradford on their roster.
 
 

Eli Manning | Age: 33 | 2015 Cap: $19,750,000

USATSI_8208481_160074578_lowresHe’s certainly been better in 2014 than he was a year ago, but his efforts aren’t translating to wins in New York. Manning currently holds the highest cap figure among all NFL quarterbacks for the 2nd straight year. But his $19.75M cap figure in 2015 ranks 4th among quarterbacks currently.

Current Contract

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Our Thoughts

None of the $17.5M cash Eli is set to earn next year is guaranteed, meaning just his $2.25M unallocated restructure cap remains should the Giants trade or release him. This being said, putting Manning on the trade block may be the best move for both parties going forward. While it’s possible a good team could “rent” him for the year on the $17.5M salary – it’s more likely that a new multi-year deal is worked out with any trade with Manning still just 33 years old.
  
Related: The Full List of 2015 Quarterback Cap Figures
 

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Week 11 NFL Financials

November 16th, 2014

Heading into Sunday’s Week 11 games, we’ve taken a step back to assess how each NFL team currently looks financially, analyzing 53-man rosters, reserve/injured lists, and projected starting lineups.

 

53-Man Rosters

USATSI_8181055_160074578_lowresNo team has more cap dollars allocated to their active roster than the Cincinnati Bengals ($121.1M), with the Green Bay Packers ($121M), and Denver Broncos ($120.9) rounding out the Top 3. The main reason? These teams have a combined average of just $4.4M on their reserve/injured lists.

The Arizona Cardinals ($85M), Jacksonville Jaguars ($81M), and St. Louis Rams ($79.5M) currently carry the lowest total 53-man roster caps, again in large part to their injuries.
 
Related: View the complete list of NFL 53-Man Roster Cap Dollars
 

Reserve/Injured Cap Dollars

USATSI_7617795_160074578_lowresThe St. Louis Rams have $43.5M allocated to 6 players on their IR, nearly $11M more than any other franchise. The Arizona Cardinals ($33M), and New York Giants ($25.6M) round out the Top 3.

As of today, the Houston Texans ($3.3M), Pittsburgh Steelers ($2.6M), and Denver Broncos ($2.4M) carry the lowest amount of cap dollars on their 2014 injured reserve list.
 

Related: View the complete list of NFL Team Reserve/Injured Cap Totals
 

Current Starting Lineups

USATSI_8088459_160074578_lowresWhen calculating the total cap dollars for each Week 11 team’s “starting 24″ (11 offense, 11 defense, kicker, punter), we’re given the following:

Top 5
1. Denver Broncos ($91.5M)
2. Green Bay Packers ($87.6M)
3. Chicago Bears ($87.2M)
4. New Orleans Saints ($86.1M)
5. Philadelphia Eagles ($83.4M)

Bottom 5
32. Jacksonville Jaguars ($50.8M, BYE)
31. Oakland Raiders ($54.2M)
30. St. Loius Rams ($56.4M)
29. Arizona Cardinals ($58.2M)
28. Indianapolis Colts ($60M)
 

Related: View the complete list of projected NFL Team Financial Starting Lineups
 

The Complete Rankings

View a complete, sortable table representing all of this data in our latest report:

Screen Shot 2014-11-16 at 8.50.24 AM
 

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Best Value NFL Teams/Players of Week 10

November 12th, 2014

Week 10 Best-Value Teams

USATSI_8194507_160074578_lowres
# Team TVS
1. Dallas Cowboys 15.10
2. Cleveland Browns 14.44
3. Atlanta Falcons 11.95
4. Baltimore Ravens 10.98
5. Denver Broncos 9.34

The Cowboys, who took a bit of a step back in Week 9, find themselves back on top of the value rankings following their Week 10 win over the Jaguars in London. When the Cowboys offensive is clicking, they’ll continue to be a financial steal (with the exception of Tony Romo of course).

The Browns are winning with value ALL OVER the field, especially in their prime offensive positions. Let the discussions of a long-term extension for QB Brian Hoyer begin. The Browns Top 3 values include Hoyer (+2), RB Terrance West (+2), and OG John Greco (+1.75).

The Falcons have quietly put together a better second half of the season, and have climbed all the way to one of our Top 3 values. Atlanta’s underpaid defensive is getting the job done, with strong production from Desmond Trufant (CB), Dwight Lowery (S), and Joathan Massaquoi (LB) this past week.

 

Week 10 Worst-Value Teams

USATSI_8196233_160074578_lowres
# Team TVS
32 Chicago Bears -15.75
31 Kansas City Chiefs -15.34
30 Oakland Raiders -13.24
29 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -12.69
28 New Orleans Saints -11.02

No surprise here. The Chicago Bears were blatantly embarrassed in primetime this week. When the highest paid player in the NFL (QB Jay Cutler) puts up a dud performance, the overall value of the team really has no chance. Combine that with a -4.8 value rating for RB Matt Forte, and a subpar performance from TE Martellus Bennett (-3), and the Bears offense nearly bottomed out in Week 10.

The Chiefs find themselves at the bottom of our list despite pulling out a last minute win in Buffalo. This derives from an overpaid defense that needs to do a LOT on the field to overcome the financial burden. While Charles put up a near 100-yard performance in the running game, he too has plentyo of $ to overcome, and has been consistently pulling the value of the team down in 2014.

Many will say the Raiders took a step forward in Week 10 against despite a drubbing from the Denver Broncos. The Raiders have too many dollars allocated to positions that carry little to no value from the get go, notably FB Marcel Reece ($4M), and K Sebastian Janikowski ($3M). This team is another year away from trimming the financial fat and really putting together the correct pieces to build a winning franchise.

 

Week 10 Advanced-Stat Best-Value Team

This week’s edition of the All-Value team carries a combined cap figure of just $36,029,733. The Broncos carry 4 of the best value players from Week 10, while the Cowboys and Ravens each possess 3.

Pos. Player Team 2014 Cap TVS
QB Brian Hoyer CLE $1,250,000 +2
RB C.J. Anderson DEN $499,156 +3.2
RB Terrance West CLE $551,850 +2
WR Dez Bryant DAL $3,148,500 +3.25
WR Torrey Smith BAL $1,078,392 +2.3
TE Julius Thomas DEN $741,000 +2
TE Levine Toilolo BAL $570,146 +1.89
LT Cordy Glenn BUF $1,326,867 +2
G Andrew Norwell BAL $420,000 +2.51
C Corey Linsley GB $466,250 +1.56
G Zack Martin DAL $1,630,509 +2.26
RT Justin Britt SEA $628,533 +3
DE Fletcher Cox PHI $2,793,036 +2.64
DT Aaron Donald STL $1,843,000 +3
DT Henry Melton DAL $1,734,375 +1.5
DE Kroy Biermann ATL $4,083,334 +2.5
OLB Nigel Bradham BUF $652,536 +2.65
ILB Chris Borland SF $574,359 +3.7
ILB Brandon Marshall DEN $495,000 +2.7
OLB Julius Peppers GB $3,500,000 +2.5
CB Bradley Fletcher PHI $3,650,000 +2.7
S Jaiquawn Jarrett NYJ $570,000 +3.65
S T.J. McDonald STL $680,815 +3
CB Chris Harris DEN $2,187,000 +2.3
K Chandler Catanzaro ARI $420,000 +2.8
P Sam Martin DET $535,075 +2.4

 

Complete Week 10 Team Value Rankings

TEAM Offense Defense S/T TOTAL
Dallas Cowboys 6.24 6.93 1.93 15.10
Cleveland Browns 15.77 -1.30 -0.03 14.44
Atlanta Falcons 0.79 9.46 1.70 11.95
Baltimore Ravens 10.36 -0.56 1.09 10.89
Denver Broncos 1.81 7.32 0.21 9.34
Detroit Lions -0.00 4.51 3.89 8.40
Arizona Cardinals -1.07 5.86 3.59 8.38
Seattle Seahawks 9.44 -2.11 0.69 8.02
San Francisco 49ers -1.58 9.52 0.02 7.96
St. Louis Rams -4.48 7.93 3.47 6.92
Green Bay Packers 10.71 -0.15 -4.23 6.33
Philadelphia Eagles -1.79 7.04 -1.03 4.22
Buffalo Bills -0.91 2.87 1.56 3.52
Indianapolis Colts 5.61 -0.78 -2.13 2.70
Washington Redskins -1.70 2.74 1.39 2.43
Tennessee Titans 2.13 -3.98 2.99 1.14
San Diego Chargers 2.36 -0.96 -2.55 -1.15
Minnesota Vikings 0.35 -2.87 1.26 -1.26
New England Patriots 1.57 -1.65 -1.47 -1.55
New York Jets -1.22 1.77 -2.16 -1.61
Houston Texans -3.95 0.32 -0.01 -3.64
Jacksonville Jaguars 1.32 -3.00 -2.12 -3.80
Pittsburgh Steelers 1.53 -4.10 -1.74 -4.31
Miami Dolphins -6.81 0.69 -0.76 -6.88
Cincinnati Bengals -4.24 -6.10 1.20 -9.14
New York Giants 0.86 -9.03 -1.57 -9.74
Carolina Panthers -8.66 -3.40 1.30 -10.76
New Orleans Saints -6.60 -5.95 1.53 -11.02
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.56 -12.77 -1.34 -12.55
Oakland Raiders -12.07 0.04 -1.21 -13.24
Kansas City Chiefs -9.12 -4.39 -1.83 -15.34
Chicago Bears -8.16 -3.93 -3.66 -15.75

How Do We Calculate True Value?

In order to calculate the True Value Statistic, we first collect the weekly Pro Football Focus rating for each starting player in the NFL. From there we work positionally, finding the Average PFF rating for all players in a particular position for that week. We also collect the Standard Deviation for this data set. Subsequently, we find the Average, and Standard Deviation of the 2014 Cap Figure for all players in a particular position. To normalize this data and prep for calculation, we then find the Z-Score of our Statistical Rating, and the Z-Score of our Financial Rating. These two Z-Scores are then added to produce a player’s current TVS.

For example:
Ryan Tannehill’s Week 1 PFF rating was 3.2
The average PFF rating of all Week 1 QBs is -0.29
The standard deviation of all Week 1 QBs is 2.78
To find the z-score, we calculate (3.2 – (-.29)) / 2.78 = 1.25

Ryan Tannehill’s 2014 cap figure is $3,455,046
The average 2014 cap figure of all Week 1 QBs is $9,174,096
The standard deviation of all Week 1 QBs is $7,097,100
To find the z-score, we calculate (9,174,096 – 3,455,046)/7,097,100 = .805

Tannehill’s Week 1 TVS = 2.05

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How Do the Broncos Stay Intact in 2015?

November 10th, 2014

There seems to be little argument that when the Denver Broncos key players are dialed in on any given Sunday, the team as a whole is nearly unbeatable (insert Patriots comments). With this being said, the Broncos face the daunting task of keeping a lot of above average pieces in the fold come 2015. Denver currently carries 14 unrestricted free agents this offseason, including WR Demaryius Thomas, TE Julius Thomas, CB Chris Harris, S Rahim Moore, and G Orlando Franklin.

We’ll take a look at the Broncos’ current 2015 salary cap outlook, and recommend/project a few options they may consider this offseason to keep these notable players on the roster next year- including:

 

Broncos Current 2015 Cap Table

The Broncos currently have $106.5M cap dollars allocated to 36 players for the 2015 season. An additional $930,188 in dead cap brings their total cap allocation to $107.4M. Many have rumored that the NFL Team Salary Cap could rise to $140M for 2015, so we’ll use this as our variable for this report.

PLAYER POS. BASE SALARY SIGNING BONUS ROSTER BONUS CAP HIT
Peyton Manning QB $19,000,000 - - $21,500,000
Ryan Clady LT $8,500,000 $600,000 $1,500,000 $10,600,000
Von Miller OLB $9,754,000 - - $9,754,000
DeMarcus Ware DE $7,000,000 $1,666,666 - $8,666,666
T.J. Ward S $4,000,000 $1,250,000 $2,500,000 $7,750,000
Aqib Talib CB $5,500,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 $7,000,000
Louis Vasquez G $5,000,000 $1,250,000 - $6,250,000
Emmanuel Sanders WR $4,000,000 $1,000,000 - $5,000,000
Britton Colquitt P $3,000,000 $750,000 - $3,750,000
Manuel Ramirez C $1,400,000 $166,668 - $2,466,668
Sylvester Williams DT $1,094,250 $973,500 - $2,067,750
Derek Wolfe DE $1,100,018 $556,691 - $1,656,709
David Bruton S $1,250,000 $400,000 - $1,650,000
Chris Clark RT $1,400,000 $225,666 - $1,625,666
Bradley Roby CB $736,024 $844,096 - $1,580,120
Andre Caldwell WR $1,350,000 $200,000 - $1,550,000
Brock Osweiler QB $660,000 $249,397 $209,547 $1,118,944
Montee Ball RB $594,938 $224,878 - $944,816
Ronnie Hillman RB $770,000 $172,708 - $942,708
Cody Latimer WR $588,575 $254,300 - $842,875
Omar Bolden CB $660,000 $118,607 - $778,607
Jordan Norwood WR $745,000 - - $745,000
Kayvon Webster CB $597,000 $134,950 - $731,950
Malik Jackson DE $660,000 $53,403 - $713,403
Danny Trevathan OLB $660,000 $26,018 - $686,018
Marvin Austin DT $660,000 - - $660,000
Michael Schofield RT $522,000 $130,300 - $652,300
Quanterus Smith DE $585,000 $48,000 - $633,000
C.J. Anderson RB $585,000 $4,167 - $589,167
Lamin Barrow ILB $510,000 $47,790 - $557,790
Corey Nelson OLB $510,000 $12,150 - $522,150
Lerentee McCray OLB $510,000 $5,668 - $515,668
Kenny Anunike DE $510,000 $833 - $510,833
Isaiah Burse WR $510,000 - - $510,000
Brandon McManus K $510,000 - - $510,000
Juwan Thompson RB $510,000 - - $510,000
36 Active Contracts $106,542,808
Dead Cap $930,188
Total Cap $107,472,996
Projected 2015 NFL Cap $140,000,000
Estimated Cap Space $32,527,004


 

Franchise Tag Julius Thomas

He doesn’t deserve it, and he may not accept it, but the Broncos may have to force the hand the CBA has made available to them and place the franchise tag on Julius Thomas this offseason. He was recently valued through our projection formula to be worth an even $9M per year. And with the 2015 franchise tag for TEs currently valued at $8.33M, it may not be outlandish for the Broncos to attempt a long-term deal at around $7.5-$8M per year. If Thomas’ camp becomes difficult, the franchise tag makes sense to lock him to the roster.

In either case, Thomas is projecting to be the 2nd or 3rd highest average paid tight end in 2015.


 

Re-Sign Demaryius Thomas, 5 years $90M

WR Demaryius Thomas continues to have a milestone season in 2014, statistically speaking. We assessed his value just a few weeks back, calculating an obsurd $21.5M annual average salary. While an average of $6M more than the next highest paid WR isn’t likely, we determined a figure between $17M and $18M is. We’re recommending a 5 year $90M contract for the 26 year old, with around 45% of that guaranteed in the first 3 years.

You’ll see we’ve forced the initial cap figure in 2015 to be similar to that of Julius’, while Demaryius will reel in $20M cash next year by way of a $5M salary, and a $15M signing bonus.


 

Re-Sign Chris Harris, 4 years $26M

Harris hasn’t just been a solid piece to the Broncos defensive puzzle, he’s become one of the elite cornerbacks in the NFL. Through 9 weeks he ranks 3rd among Pro Football Focus cornerbacks, and his $2.187M retricted tender expires after the 2014 season. We’ve projected Harris to receive a deal similar to the one Alterraun Verner signed with the Buccaneers this past offseason, as both seemed to improve quickly in their contract year. Like Verner’s deal, we’ve avoided a large upfront signing bonus, opting for higher base salaries and roster bonuses in years 1 and 3.

While the annual average of $6.5M isn’t near the top of the cornerback list (Patrick Peterson $14M), it’s inline with a player who’s battled injury, and is a clear #2 to Aqib Talib. The $6.5M average places him 15th among active 2015 cornerbacks.


 

Extend Von Miller, 4 years $64M

Miller has a contract through the 2015 season currently, and while his $9.754M salary and cap figure appears to be a steal (currently ranked the top OLB by Pro Football Focus), the Broncos can do themselves and he a favor by locking in a long-term deal this offseason. The name of the game here is more cash in hand, less dollars against the 2015 cap. We’ve laid out a deal that somewhat resembles the framework of J.J. Watt’s recent contract with the Texans.

You’ll see immediately that we’ve dropped $5M from Miller’s 2015 salary. When you include the pro-rated $10 million signing bonus, the new deal represents a total of $3M in 2015 cap savings. Miller is now handed $14.754M cash, fully guaranteed. His current $9.754M salary for 2015 contains $0 guaranteed. He’ll earn slightly less in 2016 ($12M), and then $14.5M, $16.5M, and $12M respectively by way of increased salaries and annual roster bonuses.

 

Updated 2015 Cap Table

When dropping in our recommendations, the Broncos 2015 cap table now looks like:

PLAYER POS. BASE SALARY SIGNING BONUS ROSTER BONUS CAP HIT
Peyton Manning QB $19,000,000 - - $21,500,000
Ryan Clady LT $8,500,000 $600,000 $1,500,000 $10,600,000
Von Miller OLB $4,754,000 $2,000,000 - $6,754,000
DeMarcus Ware DE $7,000,000 $1,666,666 - $8,666,666
Julius Thomas TE $8,330,000     $8,330,000
Demaryius Thomas WR $5,000,000 $3,000,000   $8,000,000
T.J. Ward S $4,000,000 $1,250,000 $2,500,000 $7,750,000
Chris Harris CB $4,000,000   $3,000,000 $7,000,000
Aqib Talib CB $5,500,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 $7,000,000
Louis Vasquez G $5,000,000 $1,250,000 - $6,250,000
Emmanuel Sanders WR $4,000,000 $1,000,000 - $5,000,000
Britton Colquitt P $3,000,000 $750,000 - $3,750,000
Manuel Ramirez C $1,400,000 $166,668 - $2,466,668
Sylvester Williams DT $1,094,250 $973,500 - $2,067,750
Derek Wolfe DE $1,100,018 $556,691 - $1,656,709
David Bruton S $1,250,000 $400,000 - $1,650,000
Chris Clark RT $1,400,000 $225,666 - $1,625,666
Bradley Roby CB $736,024 $844,096 - $1,580,120
Andre Caldwell WR $1,350,000 $200,000 - $1,550,000
Brock Osweiler QB $660,000 $249,397 $209,547 $1,118,944
Montee Ball RB $594,938 $224,878 - $944,816
Ronnie Hillman RB $770,000 $172,708 - $942,708
Cody Latimer WR $588,575 $254,300 - $842,875
Omar Bolden CB $660,000 $118,607 - $778,607
Jordan Norwood WR $745,000 - - $745,000
Kayvon Webster CB $597,000 $134,950 - $731,950
Malik Jackson DE $660,000 $53,403 - $713,403
Danny Trevathan OLB $660,000 $26,018 - $686,018
Marvin Austin DT $660,000 - - $660,000
Michael Schofield RT $522,000 $130,300 - $652,300
Quanterus Smith DE $585,000 $48,000 - $633,000
C.J. Anderson RB $585,000 $4,167 - $589,167
Lamin Barrow ILB $510,000 $47,790 - $557,790
Corey Nelson OLB $510,000 $12,150 - $522,150
Lerentee McCray OLB $510,000 $5,668 - $515,668
Kenny Anunike DE $510,000 $833 - $510,833
Isaiah Burse WR $510,000 - - $510,000
Brandon McManus K $510,000 - - $510,000
Juwan Thompson RB $510,000 - - $510,000
39 Active Contracts $126,872,808
Dead Cap $930,188
Total Cap $130,602,996
Projected 2015 NFL Cap $140,000,000
Estimated Cap Space $9,397,004

 

Other Options

  • With only two years remaining on his deal, it’s not likely the Broncos would again restructure QB Peyton Manning’s contract without extending him a few years more. It’s certainly not out of the question at the rate he’s currently going.
  • Consider cheaper options at the left tackle position (if Peyton Manning allows you to), as Ryan Clady’s production isn’t necessarily holding up to a $10M+ cap figure.
  • Part ways with punter Britton Colquitt, whose $3.75M cap figure ranks 4th among 2015 punters.
  • Restructure G Louis Vasquez’s final two years (possibly extending him out to 5) in order to find room for free agent starting G Orlando Franklin to make it back into the fold.

 

Related Pages

Denver Broncos Active Contracts
Broncos 2015 Salary Cap Table
Broncos 2015 Free Agents
2015 NFL Team Cap Tracker

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Valuing the 2015 Free Agent Wide Receivers

November 3rd, 2014

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As we roll into the second half of the 2014 NFL season we also begin to look ahead to a free agent offseason that is fully-loaded with young, impactful wide receivers. We’ll assess the more notable names, and project their value heading into 2015.
 
Related: The Complete List of 2015 NFL Free Agents
 

Jeremy Maclin | Age: 26 | Philadelphia Eagles

Maclin has quickly become a major player in this list, totaling 18 receptions for 345 yards and 4 TDs in the past two weeks alone. He’s on pace for 90 catches and 1,500 yards, numbers any NFL franchise would accept from a WR1 next year. If the Eagles let him test the market (and they won’t), Maclin should become the “reasonably priced” option for teams who may not be able to bid for a Demaryius Thomas or Dez Bryant. He projects to be worth the $12M per year that Mike Wallace received from the Dolphins 2 free agent classes ago.
 

Demaryius Thomas | Age: 27 | Denver Broncos

Thomas’ production has increased consistently for three years, culminating to a monstrous first half to 2014. He’s on pace for 105 catches, 1,900 yards, and 12 touchdowns this season and was recently valued at a record $21.5M per seasons by our forecast formula. While this figure is improbable, Demaryius Thomas is on pace to become the highest paid wide receiver in football next season (Calvin Johnson, $16.2M).
 

Dez Bryant | Age: 25 | Dallas Cowboys

While Bryant doesn’t have the eye-popping statistics that a Maclin or Thomas have in 2014, he’s doing what the Cowboys have asked him to do. He’s on pace for 95 receptions, 1,300 yards, and 12 TDs – nearly identical numbers from his 2012, and 2013 seasons. Prior to the season we valued Dez Bryant at $14M per season, a figure that most likely still holds true heading into the second half of the season.
 

Randall Cobb | Age: 24 | Green Bay Packers

Cobb remains somewhat under the radar, with bigger, flashier receivers in this group. But outside of a 2013 injury, his statistics and production are impressive. He’s currently on pace for 80 receptions, 1,200 yards, and 16 TDs as the #2 option in Green Bay (Jordy Nelson). It’s likely he values somewhere in between Eric Decker and Jordy Nelson, falling in at around $8M per year going forward (quite the upgrade from his current $802,355 average).
 

Torrey Smith | Age: 25 | Baltimore Ravens

While his targets are down in 2014 thus far, Smith has been a consistent option for Flacco and the Ravens over the the past 3 1/2 seasons. He’s on pace for 50 catches and 750 yards, after a 2013 with 65 receptions and 1,100 yards – but he’s also set to catch 10 TDs in 2014. It’s likely Smith figures to land a deal similar to Emmanuel Sanders’ 3 year $15 million contract with the Broncos this past offseason.
 

Michael Crabtree | Age: 27 | San Francisco 49ers

While the numbers for Crabtree aren’t anywhere near where many projected his potential to be, the 49ers wideout is currently on pace for 75 receptions and 750 yards, along with 6 TDs. He’s been targeted 60 times in 2014, a figure that matches Cobb, and Smith thus far, but well behind Thomas/Bryant’s 85+. It’s perfectly possible that a change of scenery brings out a more productive Crabtree in 2015, though he’s probably played himself into a lower value deal heading into the offseason (projecting at around $3M-5M per year).
 

Honorable Mentions

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Brady vs. Manning, Financially

November 1st, 2014
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As you may have heard in the days leading up to this week’s slate of NFL games, the New England Patriots are hosting the Denver Broncos this Sunday, otherwise known as Brady V. Manning 16. We’ll join the masses discussing this topic by bringing a few unique financial angles into the discussion.

In the following report we’ll show:

Brady vs. Manning, Financially

When looking at the financial breakdown for both Brady and Manning, we see plenty of zeros and eight-figure paychecks. On average, Peyton Manning has earned $13.5 million per season through his 17 years. While Tom Brady has accrued an average of $10.3M over 15 seasons.

Reviewing the yearly paydays, you’ll notice significantly lower salaries for Brady from 2007-2009. While many noted last year’s restructure as his “team-friendly pay-cut”, the Patriots actually got their best value out of Brady over the 07-09 seasons, where he earned nearly HALF that of Manning.

Speaking of the 2013 restructure, while the move did clear immediate cap space (around $5M), it also handed him $33 million in upfront cash, the most either of these QBS has ever made in one season.

Peyton Manning   Tom Brady
Earnings Team Year Team Earnings
$12,744,000 IND 1998  
$1,430,000 IND 1999  
$11,066,000 IND 2000 NE $231,500
$4,452,000 IND 2001 NE $298,000
$6,298,000 IND 2002 NE $3,875,000
$11,342,000 IND 2003 NE $9,125,000
$35,035,000 IND 2004 NE $5,500,000
$665,000 IND 2005 NE $15,500,000
$10,000,000 IND 2006 NE $16,000,000
$11,000,000 IND 2007 NE $6,000,000
$11,500,000 IND 2008 NE $8,000,000
$14,000,000 IND 2009 NE $8,000,000
$15,800,000 IND 2010 NE $23,500,000
$26,400,000 IND 2011 NE $9,750,000
$18,000,000 DEN 2012 NE $12,000,000
$25,000,000 DEN 2013 NE $33,000,000
$15,000,000 DEN 2014 NE $4,000,000
$229,732,000 17 yr 15 yr $154,779,500
$120,732,000 Salary $120,732,000
$18,400,000 Restructured Salary $17,720,000
$66,100,000 Signing Bonus $64,038,500
$5,500,000 Roster Bonus $20,000,000
$19,000,000 Option Bonus $18,000,000
  Workout Bonus $250,000

What’s Left?

Manning is signed through the year 2016, with $38M more to be made ($19M per year). Brady’s contract runs through the year 2017, with just $24M left to be made.
 

Peyton Manning’s Remaining Contract


 

Tom Brady’s Remaining Contract

 

Notable QB Earnings Since 1990

The following QBS were drafted or signed as an undrafted free agent from 1990 through recent years. We’ve collected the career earnings for each player and the amount of seasons they accrued during their NFL tenure to complile the Average Earnings per Year for each. We’ve also made note of where each player was drafted to show just how rare it is to find a Tom Brady at this position.

Draft Player Team Pick Years Career Earnings Avg $/Year
1990 Jeff George IND 1 13 $30,246,000 $2,326,615
1991 Brett Favre ATL 33 20 $137,829,000 $6,891,450
1992 Brad Johnson MIN 227 17 $53,120,500 $3,124,735
1993 Drew Bledsoe NE 1 14 $79,856,250 $5,704,018
1994 Trent Dilfer TB 6 14 $27,050,000 $1,932,143
1994 Jeff Garcia SF U/D 10 $36,637,500 $3,663,750
1994 Kurt Warner GB U/D 12 $63,773,000 $5,314,417
1995 Steve McNair TEN 3 13 $75,469,927 $5,805,379
1995 Kerry Collins CAR 5 17 $63,748,000 $3,749,882
1997 Jake Plummer ARI 42 10 $53,273,975 $5,327,398
1998 Peyton Manning IND 1 17 $229,732,000 $13,513,647
1998 Matt Hasselbeck GB 187 17 $84,964,500 $4,997,912
1999 Daunte Culpepper MIN 11 11 $34,990,000 $3,180,909
1999 Donovan McNabb PHI 2 13 $97,502,235 $7,500,172
2000 Tom Brady NE 199 15 $154,779,500 $10,318,633
2000 Chad Pennington NYJ 18 10 $50,966,000 $5,096,600
2000 Marc Bulger STL 168 10 $55,391,000 $5,539,100
2001 Michael Vick ATL 1 11 $107,741,000 $9,794,636
2001 Drew Brees SD 32 14 $131,455,000 $9,389,643
2002 David Carr HOU 1 12 $40,000,000 $3,333,333
2003 Carson Palmer CIN 1 12 $117,627,242 $9,802,270
2003 Tony Romo DAL U/D 12 $105,920,000 $8,826,667
2004 Eli Manning SD/NYG 1 11 $150,770,000 $13,706,364
2004 Philip Rivers NYG/SD 4 11 $119,910,000 $10,900,909
2004 Ben Roethlisberger PIT 11 11 $105,279,382 $9,570,853
2004 Matt Schaub ATL 90 11 $78,805,000 $7,164,091
2005 Alex Smith SF 1 10 $66,975,000 $6,697,500
2005 Aaron Rodgers GB 24 10 $99,615,000 $9,961,500
2005 Matt Cassel NE 230 10 $35,289,000 $3,528,900
2005 Ryan Fitzpatrick STL 250 10 $35,755,250 $3,575,525
2006 Vince Young TEN 3 7 $35,390,000 $5,055,714
2006 Jay Cutler DEN 11 10 $80,682,499 $8,068,250
2007 JaMarcus Russell OAK 1 3 $39,365,000 $13,121,667
2008 Matt Ryan ATL 3 7 $106,450,000 $15,207,143
2008 Joe Flacco BAL 18 7 $74,800,000 $10,685,714
2009 Matthew Stafford DET 1 6 $101,670,000 $16,945,000
2009 Mark Sanchez NYJ 5 6 $64,142,500 $10,690,417
2010 Sam Bradford  STL 1 5 $65,060,000 $13,012,000

 

1998 1st Round Picks: Career Earnings

We’ve listed the 29 other players chosen in the first round in 1998, highlighting the amount of seasons they played (or are currently playing), and their estimated career earnings for doing so. In total, the players combine for $742,402,156 in earnings, a small number when comparing the $229,732,000 Peyton Manning has acrrued in his 17 seasons.

Pick Player Pos. Team Years Career Earnings
1 Peyton Manning QB Indianapolis 17 $229,732,000
2 Ryan Leaf QB San Diego 4 $12,976,000
3 Andre Wadsworth DE Arizona 3 $12,143,000
4 Charles Woodson S Oakland 17 $81,918,000
5 Curtis Enis RB Chicago 3 $5,587,500
6 Grant Wistrom DE St. Louis 9 $33,765,000
7 Kyle Turley OT New Orleans 9 $23,630,000
8 Greg Ellis LB Dallas 12 $35,000,412
9 Fred Taylor RB Jacksonville 13 $40,963,748
10 Duane Starks CB Baltimore 10 $26,759,000
11 Tra Thomas OT Philadelphia 12 $37,540,000
12 Keith Brooking LB Atlanta 15 $50,475,000
13 Takeo Spikes LB Cincinnati 15 $46,614,375
14 Jason Peter DE Carolina 4 $5,582,000
15 Anthony Simmons LB Seattle 7 $17,373,955
16 Kevin Dyson WR Tennessee 6 $7,178,000
17 Brian Simmons LB Cincinnati 10 $24,921,000
18 Robert Edwards RB New England 2 $3,750,000
19 Vonnie Holliday DT Green Bay 15 $32,867,750
20 Terry Fair CB Detroit 6 $6,215,500
21 Randy Moss WR Minnesota 14 $71,738,499
22 Tebucky Jones S New England 9 $16,640,300
23 Mo Collins G Oakland 7 $7,960,000
24 Shaun Williams S New York 9 $22,439,000
25 Donovan Darius S Jacksonville 9 $16,824,117
26 Alan Faneca G Pittsburgh 13 $56,265,000
27 Victor Riley OT Kansas City 8 $8,945,000
28 R.W. McQuarters CB San Francisco 11 $28,520,000
29 John Avery RB Minnesota 5 $5,195,000
30 Marcus Nash WR Denver 3 $2,615,000

 

2000 1st Round Picks: Career Earnings

Tom Brady was selected #199 overall in 2000 (as you surely know). To compare, we’ve listed the earnings for all players selected in the 1st round from this draft class. These 31 players total $871,807,275 in earnings, an average of $28.1M per player, once again no match for Brady’s $154,779,500 in total earnings through 2014.

Pick Player Pos. Team Years Career Earnings
1 Courtney Brown DE Cleveland 7 $28,938,000
2 LaVar Arrington OLB Washington 7 $43,961,750
3 Chris Samuels T Washington 10 $56,400,000
4 Peter Warrick WR Cincinnati 7 $18,010,000
5 Jamal Lewis RB Baltimore 10 $46,716,750
6 Corey Simon DT Philadelphia 8 $26,679,500
7 Thomas Jones RB Arizona 12 $32,835,000
8 Plaxico Burress WR Pittsburgh 12 $29,366,150
9 Brian Urlacher LB Chicago 13 $72,674,999
10 Travis Taylor WR Baltimore 8 $12,030,000
11 Ron Dayne RB New York 8 $10,378,000
12 Shaun Ellis DE New York 12 $43,275,000
13 John Abraham LB New York 14 $71,031,000
14 Bubba Franks TE Green Bay 9 $15,556,000
15 Deltha O’Neal CB Denver 10 $18,337,250
16 Julian Peterson LB San Francisco 11 $57,121,500
17 Sebastian Janikowski K Oakland 14 $45,614,500
18 Chad Pennington QB New York 10 $50,966,000
19 Shaun Alexander RB Seattle 9 $34,619,000
20 Stockar McDougle G Detroit 8 $48,006,000
21 Sylvester Morris WR Kansas City 3 $4,741,000
22 Chris McIntosh T Seattle 3 $4,466,000
23 Rashard Anderson CB Carolina 2 $3,783,125
24 Ahmed Plummer CB San Francisco 6 $17,670,000
25 Chris Hovan DT Minnesota 11 $21,502,750
26 Erik Flowers DE Buffalo 5 $5,135,000
27 Anthony Becht TE New York 11 $11,835,000
28 Rob Morris ILB Indianapolis 8 $6,565,000
29 R. Jay Soward WR Jacksonville 4 $3,900,500
30 Keith Bulluck LB Tennessee 11 $24,982,501
31 Trung Canidate RB St. Louis 4 $4,710,000
199 Tom Brady QB New England 15 $154,779,500

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