Projecting MLB Free Agents by Team

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An early look at notable free agents for every MLB team heading toward the 2016 offseason, including our calculated market valuations for most. Bookmark our 2017 MLB Free Agent Tracker

Arizona Diamondbacks

Daniel Hudson (P, 29)
2 years, $14M ($7M)

The 29-year-old has had multiple Tommy John surgeries, and saw limited action in 2016. He was originally looked at as a top two starter in the DBacks rotation, but is now arguably the best arm coming out of their bullpen. He won’t command a huge number on the open market, and it makes sense for Arizona to bring him back – especially with an apparent trend toward multi-inning relief appearances forthcoming. Andrew Miller’s 4 year $36M contract could be one to look at here.

Honorable Mentions
Rickie Weeks, (OF/INF, 34)

 

Atlanta Braves

Honorable Mentions
Emilio Bonifacio (OF/INF, 31)
Eric O’Flaherty (RP, 31)

 

Baltimore Orioles

Mark Trumbo (OF/DH, 30)
5 years, $100M ($20M AAV)
Trumbo hits free agency for the first time in the prime of his career, coming off a season with 27 doubles, 47 home runs, 108 RBI and an .850 OPS. His numbers resemble Justin Upton’s prior to his mega deal with the Tigers last offseason. Baltimore will be hard-pressed to keep him in town.

Matt Wieters (C, 30)
5 years, $68M ($13.5M AAV)
A bit surprisingly, Wieters accepted the $15.8M qualifying offer from the O’s last offseason, but he wasn’t extended one this time around. With a calculated market value just under $14M per year, and now 30 years old, it probably makes sense for Wieters to look for a multi-year contract. He’ll have offers elsewhere.

Honorable Mentions
Pedro Alvarez (1b/DH, 29)
Steven Pearce (3B, 33)

 

Boston Red Sox

Junichi Tazawa (RP, 30)
The Sox have a handful of relievers with expiring contracts this winter, but at 30 ,Tazawa is the youngest. He posted 54 strikeouts in 50 innings and appears to be a viable option out of the pen. He would be in for a bigger role with a return to Boston with Uehara and Ziegler both free agents as well.

Honorable Mentions
Koji Uehara (RP, 41)
Brad Ziegler (RP, 37, $8M)
Aaron Hill (INF, 34)

 

Chicago Cubs

Aroldis Chapman (RP, 28)
5 years, $70M ($14M AAV)
No player was more valuable to the Cubs this postseason than Chapman, who was asked to do a bit too much down the stretch. Just 28 years old, and still as dominant as ever, Chapman will reset the closer market this offseason. David Robertson’s $11.5M average salary is the highest among active closers. Aroldis is calculating at a $14.1M market value.

Dexter Fowler (OF, 30)
5 years, $85M ($17M AAV)
Fowler took a big step forward with a nice finish to 2016, becoming a key player in the Cubs’ series win. He’s opted out of his $9M option for 2017 in seek of more money within a multi-year deal. He should have no trouble finding both, as he’s currently valuing north of $17M per year.

Honorable Mentions
Jason Hammel (SP, 34, $15M)
Travis Wood (RP, 29, $6.5M)
Joe Smith (RP, 32)
Chris Coghlan (OF, 31)

 

Chicago White Sox

Honorable Mentions
Justin Morneau (DH, 35)
Alex Avila (C, 29)
Austin Jackson (OF, 29)

 

Cincinnati Reds

Alfredo Simon (RP, 35)
Ross Ohlendorf (RP, 34)

 

Cleveland Indians

Mike Napoli (1B, 35)
3 years, $40M ($13.3M AAV)
Napoli’s 11th year in the league was arguably his best ever, finishing with 22 doubles, 34 home runs, 101 RBIS, and an .800 OPS for the runner-up Indians.Napoli’s stock may have slipped a bit with an underwhelming performance in the postseason, but the 35-year-old should have no trouble finding a home this winter – quite possibly back in Cleveland. He’ll certainly demand a raise from his $7M salary in 2016, and his calculated market value stands at just under $12M.

Honorable Mentions
Rajai Davis (OF, 36, $6M)
Coco Crisp (OF, 37)

 

Colorado Rockies

Jorge De La Rosa (P, 35)
After 9 years in Colorado, it appears a breakup is forthcoming for De La Rosa and the Rockies this winter. The 35 year old made 24 starts this season, but was relegated to the bullpen for much of the finish. With converted starters in the bullpen becoming a trend, there should be teams willing to take a look at him this offseason, though age and health are concerns.

Mark Reynolds (3B, 33)
While his power numbers held true with recent seasons, Reynolds posted a career-best .282 batting average in his 10th season. An average defender, Reynolds will be given a strong look by teams who are hoping he can add depth and a little power to their lineup. He’s trending toward a $6M per year contract.

Honorable Mentions
Boone Logan (RP, 32, $5M)
Daniel Descalso (2B, 30)

 

Detroit Tigers

Jarrod Saltalamacchia (C, 31)
Erick Aybar (INF, 32)

 

Houston Astros

Colby Rasmus (OF, 30)
4 years, $60M ($15M AAV)
Rasmus’ stock was at an all-time high prior to the 2016 season, so it was a surpise when he accepted the $15.8M qualifying offer. Injuries and a miserable 2016 season (.206 average, 15 homers in 107 games) now has his stock dropping rapidly. A strong season could have pushed his calculated value near the $20M per year mark, but Rasmus currently stands right at a $15M per year valuation. With that said, Rasmus is an excellent defensive outfielder and compares well with Cubs OF Jason Heyward, who locked in a shocking 8 year, $184M deal in Chicago last winter.

Honorable Mentions
Luis Valbuena (3B, 30, $8M AAV)
Jason Castro (C, 29, $5M)
Doug Fister (SP, 32)

 

Kansas City Royals

Edison Volquez (SP, 33)
2 years, $30M ($15M AAV)
In declining his $10M option for 2017, Volquez is likely banking on a multi-year contract on the open market. He took a step back in 2016, but still has above average production to show for, and is calculating just under $15M per year in a weak pitching market.

Kendrys Morales (DH, 33)
2 years, $30M ($15M AAV)
Morales had two strong seasons in Kansas City while reeling in a total of $17.5M. He opted out of an $11M option for 2017 with a multi-year deal in mind, and should find one, trending toward a 2 year $30M contract.
Drew Butera (C, 33)
Peter Moylan (RP, 37)

 

Los Angeles Angels

C.J. Wilson (SP, 35)
2 years, $30M ($15M AAV)
Wilson actually had a bit of a bounce-back year in 2016, finishing with an 8-8 record, a 3.89 ERA, and a 1.2 WHIP (his lowest in 5 seasons). At 35 years old there’s certainly not another $20.5M per year contract in the making, but Wilson should find work, and may not be leaving Los Angeles to get it.

Jered Weaver (SP, 34)
1 year, $12M
Weaver is coming off one of the worst seasons of his 11-year career, posting a 12-12 record, a 5.06 ERA and giving up a league-leading 37 home runs. He’ll be a cheap option for teams in need of rotation depth, and may find himself in a bullpen sooner rather than later.

Honorable Mentions

Jhoulys Chacin (P, 28)
Andrew Bailey (P, 32)
Geovany Soto (C, 33)

 

Los Angeles Dodgers

Rich Hill (SP, 36)
2 years, $28M ($14M AAV)

It’s hard to imagine that at 36, Rich Hill might be the most coveted starting pitcher on the market this winter, but he all but supplanted that role with strong performances this postseason. Hill carried a 2.12 ERA and .997 WHIP across 110 IP (20 starts) for the Athletics and Dodgers in 2016 – his first real look at the starting rotation since 2007 with the Cubs. He’ll be looked at as a versatile pitcher next year, with experience to make starts and as a long-reliever out of the pen, and could command $14M+ per year.

Kenley Jansen (RP, 29)
5 years, $68M ($13.5 AAV)
With Jansen and Chapman both set to hit the market this winter, we might see a bit of a cat and mouse game begin as the two wait out each other to set the new financial market for shut-down closers. While Chapman’s market value is set at $14M, Jansen’s files in just a touch lower ($13.2M) – but both will be paid handsomely by the time spring rolls around. It’s hard to imagine the Dodgers letting him walk away.

Justin Turner (3B, 31)
5 years $75M ($15M AAV)

Turner just keeps on hitting, and this year added in a power element to his game as well. His 3 seasons with the Dodgers finds him averaging .296 at the plate with 35 doubles, 22 home runs, and 82 RBIs. The 31-year old is valuing north of $13M per year, a nice raise from his $5M salary for 2016.

Honorable Mentions

Brett Anderson (SP, 28, $13.6M AAV)
Josh Reddick (OF, 29, $18M)
Chase Utley (2B, 37, $8M AAV)
Jesse Chavez (RP, 33)
J.P. Howell (RP, 33)

 

Miami Marlins

Andrew Cashner (SP, 30)
1 years, $11M 
Most saw Cashner as the clearcut leader in the clubhouse as the top 2017 free agent pitcher (already not saying much for the market). But a miserable 2016 (5.25 ERA, 1.5 WHIP) has his stock plummeting. The 30-year-old should still get a look, but he’s no longer a viable option to sit atop a rotation right now. Still, the market for starting pitchers has boomed, and Cashner is currently valuing at $11M, a decent raise up from his $7M arbitration salary in 2016.

Honorable Mentions
Jeff Mathis (C, 33)
Chris Johnson (3B, 32)
Dustin McGowan (RP, 34)

 

Milwaukee Brewers

Chris Capuano (SP, 38
Blaine Boyer (RP, 35)

 

Minnesota Twins

Kurt Suzuki (C, 33)

 

New York Mets

Yoenis Cespedes (OF, 31)
5 years, $124M ($24.8M AAV)
He’ll become arguably the most coveted free agent to hit the market when he opts out of his contract with the Mets in the coming days. In doing so, he’ll be leaving $47M guaranteed on the table. The goal for Cespedes will likely be contract length this time around, likely in the 5+ years range, and likely well over $100M when it’s all said and done. He’s calculating at $24.7 per year currently.

Neil Walker (2B, 31)
4 years, $48M  ($12M AAV)
Walker had an excellent start to the 2016 season, but was slowed by injuries for most of the latter half. He’s still set to cash in on the open market this winter, with his calculated market value currently at $12M per year.

Honorable Mentions
Bartolo Colon (SP, 43, $12M)
Jerry Blevins (RP, 33, $4.3M)
Fernando Salas (RP, 31, $6.6M)
James Loney (1B, 32)
Kelly Johnson (INF, 34)
Alejandro De Aza (OF, 32)

 

New York Yankees

Billy Butler (DH, 30)
Eric Young Jr. (OF, 31)

 

Oakland Athletics

Ross Detwiler (P, 30)
Sam Fuld (OF, 34)

 

Philadelphia Phillies

Jeremy Hellickson (SP, 29)
4 years, $60M ($15M AAV)
Hellickson picked a nice time to have his best season in 5 years, posting a 12-10 record, 3.71 ERA, and 1.1 WHIP in 2016. At just 29 years old he’ll be looked at as one of the top free agent pitching options this winter, and could fall into way more money than he deserves because of it. His calculated market value sits just under $12M per year, but that number probably pushes past $15M easily with demand.

Honorable Mentions

David Hernandez (RP, 31)
Peter Bourjos (OF, 29)
A.J. Ellis (C, 35)
Ryan Howard (

 

Pittsburgh Pirates

Ivan Nova (SP, 29)
4 years, $50M ($12.5M AAV)
After a dismal few seasons with the Yankees, Nova found new life with the Pirates this season, finishing with a 5-2 record, 3.06 ERA, and 1.09 WHIP in Pittsburgh. Demand from elsewhere could easily price him out of the Pirates’ range though it might make sense for both to keep this relationship intact. Nova carries a $12.7M market value into the winter.

Sean Rodriguez (INF, 31)
2 years, $18M ($9M AAV)
The hot-headed infielder has had ups and downs in Pittsburgh, but finished off a career year in 2016, posting 18 HRs, 56 RBIs, and a .270 average. He’ll follow former teammate Neil Walker as the best available second basemen on the market this winter, and is valuing at a nice round $10M per year.

Honorable Mentions
Neftali Feliz (RP, 28, $6.5M)
Matt Joyce (OF, 32, $5.3M)

 

San Diego Padres

Jon Jay (OF, 31)
3 years, $23.7M ($7.9M AAV)
Jay’s never going to be a power hitter, but he carries a career .287 average through 7 MLB seasons. He’s played in only 160 games over the past 2 years and may not be more than a depth/role player going forward.

Honorable Mentions
Clayton Richard (P, 33)
Edwin Jackson (P, 32)
Carlos Villanueva (P, 32)

 

San Francisco Giants

Santiago Casilla (RP, 36)
2 years, $16M ($8M AAV)
With 69 saves over the past two seasons, Casilla proved he was more than just a bullpen arm since joining the Giants in 2010. At 36 there may not be much left in the tank, but he may also be a cheaper short-term option for teams not able to make a splash this winter.

Honorable Mentions
Sergio Romo (RP, 33, $6.2M AAV)
Angel Pagan (OF, 35, $12.3M)
Gregor Blanco (OF, 32)

 

Seattle Mariners

Adam Lind (1B, 33)
Lind was limited to just 126 games in 2016, but still managed to post 20 HRs, and 58 RBIs with the Mariners. He’s on the backside of his career and will be looked at for depth going forward, but should still have no trouble finding work this winter.

Drew Storen (RP, 29)
Acquired from the Blue Jays mid-year, Storen proved to be a find middler reliver for the Mariners in 2016 (3.44 ERA, 0.8 WHIP). He likely won’t be signed to do much more than a stop-gap between the starter and the closer, but there’s still plenty of need for that across the league.

Honorable Mentions
Franklin Gutierrez (OF, 33)

 

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Holliday (OF, 36)
3 years, $45M ($15M AAV)
After 8 great seasons with the Cardinals it appears the two sides are set for a split. Unfortunately Holliday is coming off his worst statistical season, posting a .246 average, 20 doubles, and 20 HRs in 110 games. Age, injuries, and a general decline stand as red flags this winter, but it’s hard to imagine there won’t be more than a few teams looking to bring him in. He’ll be targeting Carlos Beltran’s 3 year $45M contract.

Honorable Mentions
Brandon Moss (OF, 33, $10.2M)
Jordan Walden (RP, 28)

 

Tampa Bay Rays

Logan Morrison (1B, 29)
Morrison appears to have plateaued at the 15 HR, 50 RBI mark at this point of his career. At just 29 years old there’s still work for him out there.

Honorable Mentions
Kevin Jepsen (RP, 32)
Alexei Ramirez (SS, 35)

 

Texas Rangers

Ian Desmond (OF, 31)
5 years, $85M ($17M AAV)
Desmond followed up a miserable 2015 with an All-Star 2016 campaign in Texas, finishing with a .285 average, 29 doubles, 22 HRs, and 86 RBIs. If the Rangers can’t extend him early, he’ll hit the open market as one of the better options available, and is currently carrying a near $17M per year calculated value.

Honorable Mentions
Carlos Gomez (OF, 30, $11.4M)
Carlos Beltran (OF, 39, $15M)
Mitch Moreland (1B, 31, $7M)
Colby Lewis (P, 37, $11.5M)

 

Toronto Blue Jays

Edwin Encarnacion (1B, 33)
5 years, $125M ($25M AAV)
Edwin put together a career year in 2016 and with his contract expiring, the timing couldn’t be better. He finished the year with 99 runs scored, 34 doubles, 42 HRs, 127 RBIs, and an .886 OPS. He’s arguably the best all-around hitter in the free agent class, and at 33 has a few strong years left in the tank. His $23.4M calculated market value is probably low, as it’s more likely the starting price for Edwin will be $25M.

Jose Bautista (OF, 36)
4 years, $85M ($21.25M AAV)

It’s hard to imagine the Blue Jays without the services of Encarnacion AND Bautista next year, but many speculate that to be the case. Jose saw action in just 116 regular season games this season, but still posted 24 doubles, 22 HRs, and 69 RBIs. If healthy, he’s still a 35 HR/100 RBI machine, and it’s likely teams will value him as such this winter. He carries a $21M market value into the winter.

Honorable Mentions
Michael Saunders (OF, 29, $16M)
R.A. Dickey (P, 42, $10M)
Brett Cecil (RP, 30, $7.1M)
Dioner Navarro (C, 32)
Scott Feldman (P, 33)

 

Washington Nationals

Mark Melancon (RP, 31)
4 years, $40M ($10M AAV)
Melancon took the reigns from Jonathan Papelbon during 2016, and finished up with an impressive 17 saves, 1.82 ERA, and 0.8 WHIP. Unless Washington takes a look at Chapman or Jansen, it seems like that Melancon re-signs this winter. He’s pricing just below the afforementioned, with a $10.1M market value.

Wilson Ramos (C, 29)
3 years, $36M ($12M AAV)
Ramos was trending way up before he suffered an unfortunate knee injury this fall. Now likely to miss the start of the 2017 season as well, Ramos’ next contract status is very much in doubt. He’s a risky candidate for a $17.2M qualifying offer, but will certainly be seeking a decent multi-year option if one exists.

Honorable Mentions
Sean Burnett (RP, 34)
Stephen Drew (INF, 33)
Marc Rzepczynski (RP, 31)

Category: MLB Free AgencyMLB Spots

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Article by: Michael Ginnitti

Managing Editor of Spotrac